Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	68.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	82.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	98.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	71.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	47.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	130.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	125.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	97.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	104.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	91.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	75.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	89.2	74.7413	61.4954	87.9872	0.0162	0.4788	0.1224	0.4788
34	110.2	95.1933	81.0418	109.3447	0.0188	0.7968	0.3285	0.9973
35	78.4	70.6715	54.4335	86.9094	0.1754	0	0.4698	0.2965
36	68.4	43.9012	27.3886	60.4138	0.0018	0	0.3303	1e-04
37	122.8	132.5233	116.1427	148.9039	0.1223	1	0.5817	1
38	129.7	113.5258	96.9133	130.1383	0.0282	0.1369	0.4965	1
39	159.1	120.3022	103.4778	137.1267	0	0.1368	0.2647	1
40	139	113.5106	96.8447	130.1764	0.0014	0	0.4958	1
41	102.2	96.6536	80.0099	113.2974	0.2568	0	0.479	0.9944
42	113.6	89.8623	73.0967	106.6278	0.0028	0.0746	0.0446	0.9578
43	81.5	81.9158	65.1634	98.6682	0.4806	1e-04	0.1238	0.7874
44	77.4	59.7766	43.0434	76.5098	0.0195	0.0055	0.0363	0.0363
45	87.6	65.089	48.4088	81.7692	0.0041	0.074	0.0023	0.1197
46	101.2	87.3387	70.6062	104.0713	0.0522	0.4878	0.0037	0.9242
47	87.2	62.0939	45.2202	78.9677	0.0018	0	0.0291	0.0654
48	64.9	34.5809	17.5772	51.5846	2e-04	0	0	0
49	133.1	121.9138	104.5749	139.2528	0.103	1	0.4601	1
50	118	104.6957	87.4403	121.9511	0.0654	6e-04	0.0023	0.9996
51	135.9	112.5964	95.3897	129.8031	0.004	0.2691	0	1
52	125.7	103.4326	86.1304	120.7348	0.0058	1e-04	0	0.9993
53	108	87.5854	70.2957	104.8751	0.0103	0	0.0488	0.9215
54	128.3	86.5361	69.327	103.7452	0	0.0073	0.001	0.9036
55	84.7	76.1767	58.9036	93.4498	0.1667	0	0.2729	0.5486
56	86.4	56.8635	39.5396	74.1874	4e-04	8e-04	0.0101	0.0195
57	92.2	59.744	40.7678	78.7202	4e-04	0.003	0.002	0.0564
58	95.8	80.8793	61.4725	100.2861	0.0659	0.1264	0.0201	0.7203
59	92.3	56.0937	35.5458	76.6416	3e-04	1e-04	0.0015	0.0349
60	54.3	29.0583	8.2379	49.8788	0.0087	0	4e-04	0

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.0904	0.1934	0	209.0536	0	0
34	0.0758	0.1576	0.1755	225.2015	217.1275	14.7352
35	0.1172	0.1094	0.1535	59.7302	164.6618	12.8321
36	0.1919	0.558	0.2546	600.19	273.5438	16.5392
37	0.0631	-0.0734	0.2184	94.5422	237.7435	15.4189
38	0.0747	0.1425	0.2057	261.6048	241.7204	15.5474
39	0.0714	0.3225	0.2224	1505.2676	422.2271	20.5482
40	0.0749	0.2246	0.2227	649.7113	450.6626	21.2288
41	0.0879	0.0574	0.2043	30.7622	404.007	20.0999
42	0.0952	0.2642	0.2103	563.4807	419.9544	20.4928
43	0.1043	-0.0051	0.1916	0.1729	381.7925	19.5395
44	0.1428	0.2948	0.2002	310.585	375.8585	19.3871
45	0.1307	0.3458	0.2114	506.744	385.9266	19.645
46	0.0977	0.1587	0.2077	192.1344	372.0843	19.2895
47	0.1386	0.4043	0.2208	630.3151	389.2997	19.7307
48	0.2509	0.8768	0.2618	919.2486	422.4215	20.5529
49	0.0726	0.0918	0.2518	125.1303	404.9338	20.123
50	0.0841	0.1271	0.2449	177.0044	392.271	19.8058
51	0.078	0.207	0.2429	543.0584	400.2072	20.0052
52	0.0853	0.2153	0.2415	495.8365	404.9887	20.1243
53	0.1007	0.2331	0.2411	416.7544	405.549	20.1382
54	0.1015	0.4826	0.2521	1744.225	466.3979	21.5962
55	0.1157	0.1119	0.246	72.6467	449.2783	21.1962
56	0.1554	0.5194	0.2574	872.4048	466.9085	21.6081
57	0.1621	0.5433	0.2688	1053.3901	490.3678	22.1442
58	0.1224	0.1845	0.2656	222.6273	480.0701	21.9105
59	0.1869	0.6455	0.2796	1310.8953	510.8414	22.6018
60	0.3656	0.8687	0.3007	637.1414	515.3521	22.7014