Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[44])
320.8244-------
330.8487-------
340.8572-------
350.8214-------
360.8827-------
370.9216-------
380.8865-------
390.8816-------
400.8884-------
410.9466-------
420.918-------
430.9337-------
440.9559-------
450.96260.94810.90520.9910.25350.360310.3603
460.94340.94760.89511.00020.43710.28850.99960.379
470.86390.94760.88731.0080.00330.554510.394
480.79960.94760.88041.014800.99270.97080.4046
490.6680.94760.87421.0211010.75630.4125
500.65720.94760.86841.0268010.93490.4188
510.69280.94760.86311.0321010.93710.4239
520.64380.94760.85811.0372010.90250.4281
530.64540.94760.85331.0419010.50840.4317
540.68730.94760.84881.0465010.72150.4348
550.72650.94760.84441.0508010.60420.4375
560.79120.94760.84031.0550.002110.43990.4399


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
450.02310.01530.00132e-0400.0042
460.0283-0.00454e-04000.0012
470.0325-0.08830.00740.0076e-040.0242
480.0362-0.15620.0130.02190.00180.0427
490.0395-0.29510.02460.07820.00650.0807
500.0426-0.30650.02550.08430.0070.0838
510.0455-0.26890.02240.06490.00540.0736
520.0482-0.32060.02670.09230.00770.0877
530.0508-0.31890.02660.09130.00760.0872
540.0532-0.27470.02290.06780.00560.0751
550.0556-0.23330.01940.04890.00410.0638
560.0578-0.16510.01380.02450.0020.0452