Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[105])
93118.85-------
94119.41-------
95120.43-------
96120.87-------
97119.31-------
98122.24-------
99123.14-------
100123.39-------
101124.46-------
102125.33-------
103124.17-------
104125.48-------
105125.35-------
106125.15125.9866124.8931127.10340.0710.868110.8681
107124.31127.1476125.5738128.76963e-040.992110.9851
108124.14127.649125.7099129.66153e-040.999410.9874
109121.81125.8729123.713128.12562e-040.934210.6754
110124.62129.2124126.6493131.90364e-04110.9975
111123.93130.2413127.3869133.254100.999910.9993
112124.29130.5274127.4348133.80641e-04110.999
113124.16131.753128.3799135.3470110.9998
114124.02132.7511129.116136.642010.99990.9999
115122131.4206127.6852135.429500.99990.99980.9985
116124.58132.9233128.9062137.25471e-0410.99960.9997
117124.06132.7741128.596137.29341e-040.99980.99940.9994


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
1060.0045-0.00666e-040.69990.05830.2415
1070.0065-0.02230.00198.0520.6710.8191
1080.008-0.02750.002312.31311.02611.013
1090.0091-0.03230.002716.50711.37561.1729
1100.0106-0.03550.00321.09011.75751.3257
1110.0118-0.04850.00439.83243.31941.8219
1120.0128-0.04780.00438.90463.2421.8006
1130.0139-0.05760.004857.65374.80452.1919
1140.015-0.06580.005576.23226.35272.5205
1150.0156-0.07170.00688.74797.39572.7195
1160.0166-0.06280.005269.61125.80092.4085
1170.0174-0.06560.005575.9356.32792.5155