Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	1.9	2.4732	1.9536	2.9929	0.0153	0.7433	0.0235	0.7433
34	1.7	2.5703	1.884	3.2566	0.0065	0.9722	0.8549	0.7799
35	2	2.6337	1.9135	3.3539	0.0423	0.9945	0.8181	0.8181
36	2.1	2.4638	1.6161	3.3114	0.2002	0.8582	0.2184	0.6475
37	1.7	2.4014	1.3814	3.4214	0.0889	0.7188	0.2219	0.5772
38	1.8	2.4601	1.2898	3.6303	0.1345	0.8985	0.2846	0.6057
39	1.8	2.5879	1.3616	3.8142	0.104	0.896	0.7324	0.6773
40	1.8	2.5736	1.3046	3.8426	0.1161	0.8839	0.4838	0.6637
41	1.3	2.474	1.1322	3.8157	0.0432	0.8376	0.3169	0.6003
42	1.3	2.4193	0.963	3.8756	0.066	0.934	0.4567	0.5638
43	1.3	2.4892	0.9456	4.0329	0.0655	0.9345	0.5451	0.5949
44	1.2	2.567	0.9758	4.1583	0.0461	0.9407	0.6289	0.6289
45	1.4	2.5513	0.9208	4.1818	0.0832	0.9479	0.7832	0.6187
46	2.2	2.4704	0.7765	4.1644	0.3772	0.8922	0.8136	0.5782
47	2.9	2.4445	0.668	4.2209	0.3076	0.6063	0.6881	0.5633
48	3.1	2.5005	0.6584	4.3426	0.2618	0.3354	0.665	0.5845
49	3.5	2.5543	0.6709	4.4377	0.1625	0.285	0.813	0.6043
50	3.6	2.532	0.6094	4.4547	0.1381	0.1619	0.7722	0.5935
51	4.4	2.4734	0.495	4.4518	0.0282	0.1322	0.7477	0.5682
52	4.1	2.4618	0.4176	4.5059	0.0581	0.0316	0.7371	0.5616
53	5.1	2.5079	0.4107	4.605	0.0077	0.0684	0.8705	0.577
54	5.8	2.5422	0.4069	4.6775	0.0014	0.0094	0.8729	0.588
55	5.9	2.5196	0.3458	4.6935	0.0012	0.0015	0.8643	0.5785
56	5.4	2.4772	0.2533	4.7012	0.005	0.0013	0.8698	0.5621
57	5.5	2.475	0.1962	4.7538	0.0046	0.0059	0.8224	0.5598
58	4.8	2.5113	0.1872	4.8354	0.0268	0.0059	0.6035	0.5707
59	3.2	2.5324	0.1722	4.8926	0.2897	0.0298	0.3801	0.5765
60	2.7	2.5114	0.1136	4.9092	0.4387	0.2867	0.3152	0.5686

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.1072	-0.2318	0	0.3286	0	0
34	0.1362	-0.3386	0.2852	0.7574	0.543	0.7369
35	0.1395	-0.2406	0.2703	0.4016	0.4959	0.7042
36	0.1755	-0.1476	0.2397	0.1323	0.405	0.6364
37	0.2167	-0.2921	0.2501	0.492	0.4224	0.6499
38	0.2427	-0.2683	0.2532	0.4357	0.4246	0.6516
39	0.2418	-0.3045	0.2605	0.6208	0.4526	0.6728
40	0.2516	-0.3006	0.2655	0.5985	0.4708	0.6862
41	0.2767	-0.4745	0.2887	1.3782	0.5717	0.7561
42	0.3071	-0.4626	0.3061	1.2528	0.6398	0.7999
43	0.3164	-0.4778	0.3217	1.4143	0.7102	0.8427
44	0.3163	-0.5325	0.3393	1.8687	0.8067	0.8982
45	0.3261	-0.4513	0.3479	1.3254	0.8466	0.9201
46	0.3498	-0.1095	0.3309	0.0731	0.7914	0.8896
47	0.3708	0.1864	0.3212	0.2075	0.7525	0.8674
48	0.3759	0.2398	0.3161	0.3594	0.7279	0.8532
49	0.3762	0.3703	0.3193	0.8944	0.7377	0.8589
50	0.3874	0.4218	0.325	1.1405	0.7601	0.8718
51	0.4081	0.7789	0.3489	3.7118	0.9154	0.9568
52	0.4237	0.6655	0.3647	2.6839	1.0038	1.0019
53	0.4266	1.0336	0.3966	6.7192	1.276	1.1296
54	0.4285	1.2815	0.4368	10.6133	1.7004	1.304
55	0.4402	1.3416	0.4762	11.4269	2.1233	1.4572
56	0.458	1.1799	0.5055	8.5426	2.3908	1.5462
57	0.4698	1.2222	0.5341	9.1507	2.6612	1.6313
58	0.4722	0.9114	0.5487	5.2383	2.7603	1.6614
59	0.4755	0.2636	0.5381	0.4457	2.6746	1.6354
60	0.4871	0.0751	0.5216	0.0356	2.5803	1.6063