Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[52])
40	20.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	19.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	18.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	17.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	17.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	16.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	15.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	14.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	13.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	15.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	22.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	23.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	22.2	22.3	19.8367	24.7633	0.4683	0.1326	0.9946	0.1326
54	19.5	21.3	17.8164	24.7836	0.1556	0.3063	0.9641	0.0885
55	16.6	20.2	15.9335	24.4665	0.0491	0.6261	0.9292	0.0539
56	17.3	20.3	15.3734	25.2266	0.1163	0.9295	0.8985	0.0881
57	19.8	20.6	15.0919	26.1081	0.3879	0.8799	0.8726	0.135
58	21.2	20	13.9662	26.0338	0.3483	0.5259	0.8507	0.1147
59	21.5	18.5	11.9828	25.0172	0.1835	0.2084	0.8321	0.0589
60	20.6	17.5	10.5328	24.4672	0.1916	0.1302	0.816	0.0406
61	19.1	16.6	9.2102	23.9898	0.2536	0.1444	0.802	0.0298
62	19.6	18.5	10.7104	26.2896	0.391	0.44	0.7896	0.0954
63	23.5	25.3	17.1302	33.4698	0.3329	0.9143	0.7787	0.6495
64	24	26.9	18.3669	35.4331	0.2527	0.7826	0.7688	0.7688

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
53	0.0564	-0.0045	0	0.01	0	0
54	0.0834	-0.0845	0.0445	3.24	1.625	1.2748
55	0.1078	-0.1782	0.0891	12.96	5.4033	2.3245
56	0.1238	-0.1478	0.1037	9	6.3025	2.5105
57	0.1364	-0.0388	0.0908	0.64	5.17	2.2738
58	0.1539	0.06	0.0856	1.44	4.5483	2.1327
59	0.1797	0.1622	0.0966	9	5.1843	2.2769
60	0.2031	0.1771	0.1066	9.61	5.7375	2.3953
61	0.2271	0.1506	0.1115	6.25	5.7944	2.4072
62	0.2148	0.0595	0.1063	1.21	5.336	2.31
63	0.1648	-0.0711	0.1031	3.24	5.1455	2.2684
64	0.1618	-0.1078	0.1035	8.41	5.4175	2.3276