Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
48	20866.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	22176.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	23533.8	21887.3716	19201.4689	24573.2742	0.1148	0.4165	0.4165	0.4165
51	21479.6	21398.5231	18601.4277	24195.6184	0.4773	0.0673	0.0673	0.2929
52	24347.7	21867.1919	18969.0015	24765.3823	0.0467	0.6034	0.6034	0.4172
53	22751.6	21759.3056	18376.1459	25142.4653	0.2827	0.0669	0.0669	0.4046
54	20328.3	21571.3599	18027.2391	25115.4806	0.2459	0.257	0.257	0.369
55	23650.4	21734.4448	18040.987	25427.9025	0.1546	0.7722	0.7722	0.4073
56	23335.7	21689.6056	17739.1241	25640.0871	0.2071	0.1653	0.1653	0.4046
57	19614.9	21612.9836	17497.9629	25728.0044	0.1706	0.206	0.206	0.3942
58	18042.3	21665.026	17394.2736	25935.7784	0.0482	0.8266	0.8266	0.4073
59	17282.5	21642.1102	17185.0005	26099.2199	0.0276	0.9433	0.9433	0.4072
60	16847.2	21606.6652	16994.7982	26218.5322	0.0216	0.9669	0.9669	0.4044
61	18159.5	21618.3724	16857.9695	26378.7753	0.0772	0.9753	0.9753	0.4092

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0626	0.0752	0	2710726.5795	0	0
51	0.0667	0.0038	0.0395	6573.4698	1358650.0246	1165.6114
52	0.0676	0.1134	0.0641	6152920.5763	2956740.2085	1719.5174
53	0.0793	0.0456	0.0595	984648.1733	2463717.1997	1569.6233
54	0.0838	-0.0576	0.0591	1545197.8069	2280013.3212	1509.9713
55	0.0867	0.0882	0.064	3670884.3806	2511825.1644	1584.8739
56	0.0929	0.0759	0.0657	2709626.7239	2540082.53	1593.7636
57	0.0971	-0.0924	0.069	3992338.2471	2721614.4947	1649.7316
58	0.1006	-0.1672	0.0799	13124143.6572	3877451.0683	1969.1244
59	0.1051	-0.2014	0.0921	19006200.8759	5390326.0491	2321.7076
60	0.1089	-0.2203	0.1037	22652509.3315	6959615.4384	2638.1083
61	0.1123	-0.16	0.1084	11963797.9758	7376630.6498	2715.9953