Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[46])
34	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	9	9.5652	3.2983	15.8321	0.4298	0.4459	0.0042	0.4459
48	16	9.7543	2.5555	16.953	0.0445	0.5814	0.0124	0.4733
49	10	9.6721	1.0602	18.284	0.4703	0.0749	0.029	0.4703
50	7	9.7078	0.1211	19.2945	0.2899	0.4762	0.4762	0.4762
51	7	9.6923	-0.8709	20.2554	0.3087	0.6913	0.2697	0.4772
52	14	9.699	-1.7203	21.1184	0.2302	0.6784	0.4794	0.4794
53	11	9.6961	-2.5347	21.9269	0.4172	0.2452	0.5444	0.4806
54	10	9.6974	-3.2881	22.6828	0.4818	0.4221	0.5419	0.4818
55	6	9.6968	-4.0044	23.398	0.2985	0.4827	0.7015	0.4827
56	8	9.697	-4.6832	24.0773	0.4085	0.6928	0.4295	0.4835
57	13	9.6969	-5.3321	24.726	0.3333	0.5876	0.5362	0.4842
58	12	9.697	-5.9539	25.3479	0.3865	0.3396	0.4849	0.4849
59	15	9.697	-6.552	25.946	0.2612	0.3906	0.5335	0.4854
60	16	9.697	-7.1288	26.5228	0.2314	0.2684	0.2314	0.4859
61	16	9.697	-7.6865	27.0805	0.2386	0.2386	0.4864	0.4864

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
47	0.3343	-0.0591	0	0.3195	0	0
48	0.3765	0.6403	0.3497	39.0093	19.6644	4.4345
49	0.4543	0.0339	0.2444	0.1075	13.1455	3.6257
50	0.5038	-0.2789	0.2531	7.3322	11.6921	3.4194
51	0.556	-0.2778	0.258	7.2483	10.8034	3.2868
52	0.6007	0.4434	0.2889	18.4984	12.0859	3.4765
53	0.6436	0.1345	0.2668	1.7002	10.6022	3.2561
54	0.6832	0.0312	0.2374	0.0916	9.2884	3.0477
55	0.7209	-0.3812	0.2534	13.6664	9.7748	3.1265
56	0.7566	-0.175	0.2455	2.88	9.0853	3.0142
57	0.7908	0.3406	0.2542	10.9102	9.2512	3.0416
58	0.8235	0.2375	0.2528	5.3039	8.9223	2.987
59	0.8549	0.5469	0.2754	28.1221	10.3992	3.2248
60	0.8853	0.65	0.3022	39.7281	12.4941	3.5347
61	0.9146	0.65	0.3254	39.7281	14.3097	3.7828