| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0661 | -0.097 | 0.2381 | -0.7968 | 0.085 | -0.2303 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.7615 ) | (0.5692 ) | (0.1751 ) | (0 ) | (0.6813 ) | (0.2168 ) | (0.0463 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.121 | 0.219 | -0.7586 | 0.063 | -0.2268 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.426 ) | (0.1724 ) | (0 ) | (0.7436 ) | (0.2218 ) | (0.046 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.116 | 0.2416 | -0.7617 | 0 | -0.2398 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.443 ) | (0.1017 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.1776 ) | (0.2326 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.2672 | -1.2461 | 0 | -0.2155 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0722 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.2194 ) | (0.0899 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.2894 | -0.8054 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0521 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0066 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3213 | 0 | 0 | -0.8565 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1227 ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2455 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -2.03219520595535 |
| -57.7589620661404 |
| -34.3204104774012 |
| -11.0243334395686 |
| 52.21539989632 |
| 40.2751080166432 |
| -6.10306094336334 |
| 0.587051704091762 |
| -16.7596317808528 |
| -28.1322402082974 |
| -51.6833369616811 |
| 35.6237726312661 |
| 55.5306256501844 |
| 3.05989630533755 |
| -84.9212724823012 |
| -30.6418382664631 |
| 44.1335756469765 |
| -51.9234962091877 |
| 0.427742659675271 |
| 0.617393847223198 |
| -62.8410798021807 |
| 39.5005806251713 |
| 31.0760618522846 |
| 13.7462058295836 |
| -16.4695729757950 |
| -1.94566239083804 |
| -4.82701569092907 |
| 35.7591627588021 |
| -36.1298613641864 |
| -18.3929482069265 |
| 17.6137821001681 |
| 18.4033183022519 |
| 20.4606875932717 |
| 111.899618647274 |
| -15.7852189557693 |
| -29.8650653331881 |
| 5.0318446671279 |
| -37.9214042243278 |
| -14.4507370162569 |
| 64.6495938543177 |
| -44.5575301041937 |
| 108.015255109072 |
| 72.2576869742459 |
| -32.0732364272304 |
| 61.1422211182337 |
| 11.5757470533149 |
| -7.01076381622653 |
| 103.429278239523 |
| -1.28953637619219 |
| 22.9692066622447 |
| 117.889978923275 |
| -10.1411043799186 |
| -58.3629312239879 |
| -16.7923898298503 |
| -12.0376370737192 |
| -56.0563110960295 |
| 56.8571532952004 |
| -28.8198568201085 |
