Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[105])
93	266.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	282.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	306.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	301.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	314.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	332.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	355.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	370.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	408.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	433.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	440.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	386.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	342.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	254.97	338.6286	281.2533	419.1936	0.0209	0.4592	0.9121	0.4592
107	203.42	339.1741	258.4194	474.6939	0.0248	0.8884	0.6827	0.4789
108	170.09	338.8421	242.681	524.2038	0.0372	0.9239	0.6526	0.4831
109	174.03	339.4921	231.2819	574.7103	0.084	0.921	0.5821	0.4889
110	167.85	340.2756	222.1602	626.5721	0.1189	0.8725	0.5209	0.493
111	177.01	341.1884	214.5664	681.0289	0.1718	0.8413	0.4671	0.4962
112	188.19	341.7173	207.8579	737.2171	0.2234	0.7928	0.4436	0.4978
113	211.2	342.974	202.2571	800.0224	0.286	0.7466	0.39	0.5002
114	240.91	343.7053	197.0617	865.4304	0.3497	0.6907	0.3678	0.5013
115	230.26	343.8762	192.1673	933.1444	0.3528	0.634	0.3739	0.5014
116	251.25	342.2549	187.0695	995.2432	0.3924	0.6316	0.4474	0.4993
117	241.66	340.6223	182.3814	1060.6886	0.3938	0.5961	0.4976	0.4976

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
106	0.1214	-0.2471	0.0206	6998.7604	583.23	24.1502
107	0.2039	-0.4002	0.0334	18429.186	1535.7655	39.1888
108	0.2791	-0.498	0.0415	28477.2604	2373.105	48.7145
109	0.3535	-0.4874	0.0406	27377.6987	2281.4749	47.7648
110	0.4293	-0.5067	0.0422	29730.5968	2477.5497	49.775
111	0.5082	-0.4812	0.0401	26954.5493	2246.2124	47.3942
112	0.5905	-0.4493	0.0374	23570.6296	1964.2191	44.3195
113	0.6799	-0.3842	0.032	17364.3928	1447.0327	38.0399
114	0.7745	-0.2991	0.0249	10566.8766	880.573	29.6745
115	0.8743	-0.3304	0.0275	12908.6352	1075.7196	32.7982
116	0.9734	-0.2659	0.0222	8281.8851	690.1571	26.2708
117	1.0786	-0.2905	0.0242	9793.5421	816.1285	28.568