Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	38.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	40.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	42.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	47.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	47.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	44.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	49.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	53.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	58.9000000000001	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	59.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	56.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	53.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	53.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	57.85	57.4316	51.8226	63.5813	0.447	0.9092	1	0.9092
50	55.69	57.2772	48.5118	67.4431	0.3798	0.456	0.9982	0.7818
51	55.64	56.4109	45.9183	69.0142	0.4523	0.5446	0.9157	0.689
52	62.52	55.2233	43.4311	69.8227	0.1636	0.4777	0.8575	0.605
53	64.4	58.3772	44.9443	75.3213	0.243	0.3159	0.9515	0.7238
54	64.65	61.871	46.5636	81.5672	0.3911	0.4006	0.8846	0.8048
55	67.71	61.989	45.5122	83.6525	0.3024	0.4049	0.7828	0.7857
56	67.21	60.5921	43.3267	83.8202	0.2883	0.274	0.5568	0.7325
57	59.37	59.8022	41.8905	84.3341	0.4862	0.277	0.5052	0.7
58	53.26	63.6185	43.9121	90.9552	0.2288	0.6197	0.6827	0.7716
59	52.42	64.6559	43.9225	93.8161	0.2054	0.7782	0.7794	0.7786
60	55.03	63.1315	42.023	93.345	0.2996	0.7564	0.7395	0.7395

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0546	0.0073	0	0.175	0	0
50	0.0906	-0.0277	0.0175	2.5193	1.3472	1.1607
51	0.114	-0.0137	0.0162	0.5943	1.0962	1.047
52	0.1349	0.1321	0.0452	53.2419	14.1327	3.7593
53	0.1481	0.1032	0.0568	36.2739	18.5609	4.3082
54	0.1624	0.0449	0.0548	7.7229	16.7546	4.0932
55	0.1783	0.0923	0.0602	32.7298	19.0368	4.3631
56	0.1956	0.1092	0.0663	43.7968	22.1318	4.7044
57	0.2093	-0.0072	0.0597	0.1868	19.6934	4.4377
58	0.2192	-0.1628	0.07	107.2993	28.454	5.3342
59	0.2301	-0.1892	0.0809	149.7161	39.4778	6.2831
60	0.2442	-0.1283	0.0848	65.634	41.6575	6.4543