Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[58])
46852-------
47649-------
48629-------
49685-------
50617-------
51715-------
52715-------
53629-------
54916-------
55531-------
56357-------
57917-------
58828-------
59708608.584529.3519707.03350.023900.21050
60858662.6741571.1772778.05565e-040.22070.71630.0025
61775733.526627.5153868.85830.2740.03570.75890.0856
62785651.7116561.2061766.0160.01110.01730.72410.0013
631006697.3644597.5494824.449700.08830.39280.022
64789650.4903560.2276764.46380.008600.13360.0011
65734685.4477588.0503809.20960.2210.05050.81430.012
66906837.7238707.62991007.29150.2150.88470.18280.5447
67532464.906409.4343532.46480.025800.02760
68387343.6607307.9487385.96530.022300.26830
69991805.1568682.2849964.47560.011110.08440.3893
70841752.3982640.9669895.63030.11275e-040.15040.1504


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
590.08250.16340.01369883.5462823.628928.6989
600.08880.29480.024638152.19663179.349756.3857
610.09410.05650.00471720.0947143.341211.9725
620.08950.20450.01717765.79521480.482938.477
630.0930.44260.036995255.91787937.993189.0954
640.08940.21290.017719184.92321598.743639.9843
650.09210.07080.00592357.33196.444214.0159
660.10330.08150.00684661.6425388.470219.7096
670.07410.14430.0124501.6091375.134119.3684
680.06280.12610.01051878.2924156.524412.511
690.1010.23080.019234537.67862878.139953.6483
700.09710.11780.00987850.275654.189625.5771