Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[93])
81	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	122.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	113.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	110.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	109.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	115.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	99.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	116.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	115.7	121.5772	115.2741	127.8803	0.0338	0.9313	0.399	0.9313
95	99.4	111.2649	104.917	117.6128	1e-04	0.0854	0.2649	0.0437
96	94.3	104.9355	98.3767	111.4943	7e-04	0.951	0.9299	2e-04
97	91	108.1904	100.8401	115.5407	0	0.9999	0.2517	0.0108
98	93.2	108.4563	101.1049	115.8077	0	1	0.1234	0.0131
99	103.1	116.8795	109.2584	124.5005	2e-04	1	0.9657	0.5082
100	94.1	112.5728	104.7194	120.4262	0	0.991	0.119	0.1457
101	91.8	110.1869	102.3199	118.0539	0	1	0.6067	0.0497
102	102.7	118.385	110.3003	126.4697	1e-04	1	0.7266	0.6496
103	82.6	94.7055	86.514	102.8971	0.0019	0.0279	0.3784	0
104	89.1	103.3142	95.0709	111.5575	4e-04	1	0.7983	7e-04
105	104.5	118.3673	109.9684	126.7662	6e-04	1	0.6427	0.6427

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
94	0.0265	-0.0483	0	34.5414	0	0
95	0.0291	-0.1066	0.0775	140.7763	87.6589	9.3626
96	0.0319	-0.1014	0.0854	113.1138	96.1438	9.8053
97	0.0347	-0.1589	0.1038	295.511	145.9856	12.0825
98	0.0346	-0.1407	0.1112	232.7548	163.3395	12.7804
99	0.0333	-0.1179	0.1123	189.8735	167.7618	12.9523
100	0.0356	-0.1641	0.1197	341.2439	192.545	13.8761
101	0.0364	-0.1669	0.1256	338.0778	210.7366	14.5168
102	0.0348	-0.1325	0.1264	246.0204	214.657	14.6512
103	0.0441	-0.1278	0.1265	146.5442	207.8457	14.4169
104	0.0407	-0.1376	0.1275	202.0441	207.3183	14.3986
105	0.0362	-0.1172	0.1267	192.3024	206.067	14.355