| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3889 | 0.2508 | 0.2645 | -1 | 0.2726 |
| (p-val) | (7e-04 ) | (0.0313 ) | (0.018 ) | (0 ) | (0.0246 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.033 | 0 | 0.1289 | -0.556 | 0.2504 |
| (p-val) | (0.8814 ) | (NA ) | (0.302 ) | (0.0056 ) | (0.0453 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1356 | -0.5809 | 0.2494 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.2516 ) | (0 ) | (0.0459 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5591 | 0.2224 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0765 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5867 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 1.32239908923026 |
| -198.695969292951 |
| -38.8258547893241 |
| 26.7010829087054 |
| 8.6876076901968 |
| -38.2659113053339 |
| -27.4143713371379 |
| -107.264598885902 |
| -54.7860309448781 |
| 34.188737453394 |
| 21.7489370252606 |
| -54.1219158402805 |
| -39.5320094939942 |
| 54.0080679866638 |
| 346.349006960169 |
| 128.451464104984 |
| -157.817339766154 |
| 78.351548256856 |
| -93.6236955562506 |
| 19.4359395982899 |
| 2.05304924688231 |
| 53.0177945130826 |
| 11.1895072167813 |
| -109.821867780115 |
| -20.967202363485 |
| -105.068780733800 |
| -73.9885994353073 |
| -100.656290846427 |
| 131.017324245361 |
| 104.546790493881 |
| -151.316248388005 |
| 17.3569842399628 |
| -13.0376896541730 |
| 0.489840591326389 |
| 79.267379557419 |
| 89.5946214407044 |
| -52.4130909119827 |
| -76.3362785528505 |
| 264.517025060564 |
| -161.533336762969 |
| 120.347567443937 |
| 64.0215776104083 |
| -49.9655348094616 |
| 53.2964299816905 |
| -3.94732478823684 |
| 266.062806138734 |
| 45.9807796985562 |
| -32.6619384086238 |
| -26.4674341442036 |
| -60.937482323429 |
| 57.0221289557427 |
| 104.782558177311 |
| 165.1369523156 |
| -9.85355925509095 |
| 34.8609759841153 |
| -193.373574723796 |
| -8.10409206531696 |
| 163.314720841515 |
| 97.2542948270346 |
| -167.149780150889 |
| 175.178247107948 |
| -272.204555081690 |
| 126.965706038675 |
| 257.569980029648 |
| 188.702185642345 |
| 268.716437947414 |
| 189.951746282412 |
| -303.171465920752 |
| 164.571235783460 |
| -124.118296542923 |
| -14.4130468825157 |
| 57.3015108239108 |
| -413.798782161496 |
| -85.6310078160027 |
| 54.4541201830663 |
| -194.348291390475 |
| -237.693417992601 |
| 33.2199080908088 |
| -30.2612262430432 |
| -106.987697525117 |
| -21.0975782968355 |
