Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[93])
81112.5-------
82122.4-------
83113.3-------
84100-------
85110.7-------
86112.8-------
87109.8-------
88117.3-------
89109.1-------
90115.9-------
9196-------
9299.8-------
93116.8-------
94115.7120.3388114.3523126.32530.06440.87670.24990.8767
9599.4110.2663104.2686116.2642e-040.03790.16070.0164
9694.3104.755598.5046111.00645e-040.95340.9321e-04
9791106.542799.4573113.62800.99960.12510.0023
9893.2107.5812100.4952114.6671010.07440.0054
99103.1115.3708107.9784122.76316e-0410.93020.3524
10094.1112.2542104.5866119.921700.99040.09860.1226
10191.8109.1202101.4155116.82500.99990.50210.0254
102102.7117.4571109.5102125.40391e-0410.64950.5644
10382.693.732285.6472101.81720.00350.01490.29120
10489.1102.122393.9595110.28529e-0410.71142e-04
105104.5118.9456110.6099127.28133e-0410.6930.693


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
940.0254-0.0385021.518700
950.0278-0.09850.0685118.076669.79778.3545
960.0304-0.09980.079109.317782.9719.1088
970.0339-0.14590.0957241.5749122.62211.0735
980.0336-0.13370.1033206.8176139.461111.8094
990.0327-0.10640.1038150.572141.312911.8875
1000.0348-0.16170.1121329.5733168.207312.9695
1010.036-0.15870.1179299.9906184.680213.5897
1020.0345-0.12560.1188217.7716188.35713.7243
1030.044-0.11880.1188123.9261181.913913.4875
1040.0408-0.12750.1196169.5814180.792813.4459
1050.0358-0.12140.1197208.676183.116413.532