ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iterationar1ar2ar3sma1
Estimates ( 1 )0.5276-0.1477-0.4106-0.4897
(p-val)(2e-04 )(0.3654 )(0.0033 )(0.0421 )
Estimates ( 2 )0.44960-0.4934-0.4437
(p-val)(0 )(NA )(0 )(0.0569 )
Estimates ( 3 )0.4820-0.48430
(p-val)(0 )(NA )(0 )(NA )
Estimates ( 4 )NANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 5 )NANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )NANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 7 )NANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )


Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-0.0287232029233434
-3.15189706263251e-05
0.372948578733812
-0.0909333661956218
-0.00157343305098116
0.181402892327684
0.19778618955382
0.0234427627432403
0.294898737782357
-0.369014418601435
-0.085912524871472
-0.57890694098213
-0.0720973693137948
0.0270342549096077
-0.118987546686351
-0.109947709671513
-0.144399062533753
0.0666470069841522
-0.0235877255587874
-0.145631961287238
0.257896131253532
-0.190671986034882
0.0209473037140495
0.417881313088749
-0.0911154411617943
-0.277621128697387
0.127166274015142
-0.0153183413129058
0.0785939333627208
-0.00907551636532799
-0.0989567530932315
-0.209498537810782
-0.0983394822329505
0.0461738627807463
0.654492199091018
0.469066841985285
-0.248609757140629
-0.0673723589265031
-0.160494537978313
0.206157994225591
0.125974155634569
0.20544542733722
0.187490744755495
0.286605085995906
0.0827258199764446
0.27160275952871
0.385519907831928
-0.253002319871200
0.159409537616525