| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4043 | -0.0644 | -0.4445 | 0.646 |
| (p-val) | (0.0011 ) | (0.6316 ) | (3e-04 ) | (0.0022 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3759 | 0 | -0.4759 | 0.6765 |
| (p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0017 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.00799999069677674 |
| 0.0655663342169155 |
| -0.314102001255427 |
| 0.0317091212383197 |
| 0.155293551955888 |
| -0.0385296932752220 |
| -0.135299939602451 |
| 0.063351499333042 |
| -0.149507863309862 |
| 0.107606696702245 |
| -0.365779540569387 |
| 0.306369336289387 |
| -0.165030433548478 |
| -0.0614039060297787 |
| 0.332379767610916 |
| -0.0425578132993392 |
| 0.159580418051046 |
| 0.175832652756516 |
| 0.0978392879070364 |
| 0.0214734260417475 |
| 0.161757845713646 |
| -0.296125900215458 |
| -0.265367512443518 |
| -0.314298154683168 |
| -0.204607555286643 |
| -0.0256918532722725 |
| -0.216389630003503 |
| -0.073306028205756 |
| 0.0193603927076025 |
| 0.0464891112190371 |
| -0.146355499795622 |
| -0.11979708891645 |
| 0.117661731213615 |
| -0.114399869028316 |
| -0.235663394997600 |
| 0.669566272730368 |
| -0.205335752194856 |
| -0.296422715780536 |
| 0.234801150217888 |
| -0.071665143409048 |
| 0.230591319009915 |
| 0.0978467074132594 |
| -0.0529846055384834 |
| -0.169757880843664 |
| -0.0787911958903475 |
| -0.131552793161012 |
| 0.368608089286427 |
| 0.401037799559772 |
| -0.325095914527676 |
| -0.0483688425824608 |
| -0.293752968747722 |
| 0.087442507412597 |
| 0.143539016596883 |
| 0.299657987760763 |
| 0.162358545177224 |
| 0.301302497926733 |
| 0.207749504274858 |
| 0.143481850585403 |
| 0.0602674854418447 |
| 0.0935698111190615 |
| -0.0204159304893309 |
