Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	7.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	7.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	7.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	7.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	7.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	7.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	7.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	7.3	7.303	6.9797	7.6263	0.4927	0.7339	0	0.7339
62	7.1	7.1319	6.5852	7.6785	0.4545	0.2733	9e-04	0.4035
63	6.8	6.7305	6.0644	7.3966	0.419	0.1385	3e-04	0.0836
64	6.4	6.4618	5.7692	7.1545	0.4305	0.1693	0	0.0184
65	6.1	6.0626	5.3697	6.7554	0.4578	0.1699	0	6e-04
66	6.5	5.738	5.0449	6.4311	0.0156	0.153	0	0
67	7.7	6.2453	5.5506	6.9399	0	0.2361	2e-04	0.0035
68	7.9	6.2169	5.5006	6.9332	0	0	0.0015	0.0036
69	7.5	6.0024	5.2214	6.7835	1e-04	0	0.0061	0.0013
70	6.9	5.828	4.9617	6.6943	0.0076	1e-04	0.004	0.001
71	6.6	5.6202	4.6782	6.5622	0.0207	0.0039	0.002	5e-04
72	6.9	5.6526	4.661	6.6443	0.0068	0.0306	0.0011	0.0011

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0226	-4e-04	0	0	0	0
62	0.0391	-0.0045	0.0024	0.001	5e-04	0.0226
63	0.0505	0.0103	0.0051	0.0048	0.002	0.0442
64	0.0547	-0.0096	0.0062	0.0038	0.0024	0.0492
65	0.0583	0.0062	0.0062	0.0014	0.0022	0.0471
66	0.0616	0.1328	0.0273	0.5806	0.0986	0.314
67	0.0567	0.2329	0.0567	2.1163	0.3869	0.622
68	0.0588	0.2707	0.0834	2.8329	0.6926	0.8322
69	0.0664	0.2495	0.1019	2.2427	0.8648	0.93
70	0.0758	0.1839	0.1101	1.1492	0.8933	0.9451
71	0.0855	0.1743	0.1159	0.9601	0.8993	0.9483
72	0.0895	0.2207	0.1247	1.5559	0.9541	0.9768