Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	68.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	122.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	129.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	159.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	139	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	81.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	77.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	87.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	101.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	87.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	64.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	133.1	126.5256	108.9104	144.1408	0.2322	1	0.6608	1
50	118	120.6431	102.0905	139.1956	0.39	0.0941	0.1693	1
51	135.9	150.5599	129.7612	171.3586	0.0836	0.9989	0.2105	1
52	125.7	126.4732	104.6757	148.2707	0.4723	0.1983	0.13	1
53	108	105.4429	83.4722	127.4137	0.4098	0.0354	0.6138	0.9999
54	128.3	121.4916	98.2573	144.726	0.2829	0.8725	0.7472	1
55	84.7	92.1678	68.1124	116.2232	0.2714	0.0016	0.8076	0.9868
56	86.4	86.1874	61.9251	110.4498	0.4931	0.5478	0.7611	0.9573
57	92.2	95.9442	70.6934	121.1951	0.3857	0.7706	0.7414	0.992
58	95.8	113.6438	87.6353	139.6524	0.0894	0.947	0.8258	0.9999
59	92.3	93.2332	66.9815	119.4849	0.4722	0.424	0.6738	0.9828
60	54.3	78.6397	51.5839	105.6956	0.0389	0.1612	0.8402	0.8402

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.071	0.052	0	43.2227	0	0
50	0.0785	-0.0219	0.0369	6.9857	25.1042	5.0104
51	0.0705	-0.0974	0.0571	214.9136	88.374	9.4007
52	0.0879	-0.0061	0.0443	0.5978	66.43	8.1505
53	0.1063	0.0243	0.0403	6.5386	54.4517	7.3791
54	0.0976	0.056	0.0429	46.3538	53.102	7.2871
55	0.1332	-0.081	0.0484	55.7681	53.4829	7.3132
56	0.1436	0.0025	0.0426	0.0452	46.8032	6.8413
57	0.1343	-0.039	0.0422	14.0192	43.1605	6.5697
58	0.1168	-0.157	0.0537	318.4023	70.6847	8.4074
59	0.1437	-0.01	0.0497	0.8709	64.338	8.0211
60	0.1755	-0.3095	0.0714	592.4232	108.3451	10.4089