| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | ma2 | ma3 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2263 | 0.1764 | -0.3236 | 0.2317 | -0.6128 | -0.0509 |
| (p-val) | (0.6137 ) | (0.5498 ) | (0.0754 ) | (0.6112 ) | (4e-04 ) | (0.8577 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2947 | 0.1366 | -0.3247 | 0.1595 | -0.6035 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2488 ) | (0.5172 ) | (0.0822 ) | (0.4948 ) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3926 | 0 | -0.2463 | 0.0789 | -0.546 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.1228 ) | (NA ) | (0.1158 ) | (0.7635 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.4567 | 0 | -0.2175 | 0 | -0.5566 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0796 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.4467 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.601 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 325.411745913805 |
| 479.190003609842 |
| 1761.69015456995 |
| -11221.7482099728 |
| 6055.16809424284 |
| -9309.13765398136 |
| 1227.67939266249 |
| -7303.37260959477 |
| -5238.42454413473 |
| -4048.84346645517 |
| 1390.43208646456 |
| 24081.3434820281 |
| -9026.78198028745 |
| 10514.5239190921 |
| -9813.7593046922 |
| 2247.94060634529 |
| -719.1709250638 |
| -2880.75356115876 |
| -5551.40102850398 |
| -6559.90639862236 |
| -4279.10381946704 |
| -3175.42919115501 |
| 8627.1424063199 |
| 10926.3586381256 |
| 1258.06176631304 |
| -1158.63412218687 |
| -10224.7286657635 |
| -4243.1931675034 |
| -5788.35747159896 |
| -4199.33228693672 |
| -13016.5626003642 |
| -8384.92307895024 |
| -7379.93002122095 |
| -11959.9285718442 |
| -4118.80778102835 |
| 26780.766722319 |
| -12458.098888388 |
| -5166.6655132866 |
| -2628.50734203357 |
| -6575.48089222957 |
| 223.190679083621 |
| -5063.41970180548 |
| -8471.2527558937 |
| -6963.9724558971 |
| -3644.38194624128 |
| -13416.8971190479 |
| 7663.95162547803 |
| 18548.3401343712 |
| -6523.27973255793 |
| -4645.04781905248 |
| -548.035047933361 |
| -2490.41070918608 |
| 3861.5320862337 |
| -2192.44710970139 |
| -263.763805311346 |
| -1374.49632240407 |
| 379.871282715466 |
| -6764.17276645975 |
| 10970.0332134578 |
| 22042.1932906294 |
| -1970.68091676891 |
| -2597.68735664804 |
