Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[75])
63	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	3.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	4.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	4.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	5.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	5.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	5.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	5.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	5.5	5.3847	4.78	5.9894	0.3543	0.4802	1	0.4802
77	4.8	4.8438	3.9887	5.699	0.46	0.0663	1	0.1012
78	3.2	4.2078	3.1604	5.2552	0.0296	0.1339	0.9928	0.0128
79	2.7	4.0212	2.8118	5.2306	0.0161	0.9084	0.9323	0.0127
80	2.1	3.8536	2.5014	5.2057	0.0055	0.9528	0.6959	0.0125
81	1.9	3.7431	2.2619	5.2244	0.0074	0.9852	0.5751	0.0142
82	0.6	3.1337	1.5338	4.7337	0.001	0.9347	0.0604	0.0027
83	0.7	3.3623	1.6519	5.0726	0.0011	0.9992	0.1989	0.0098
84	-0.2	2.7718	0.9577	4.586	7e-04	0.9874	0.0059	0.0023
85	-1	2.2386	0.3264	4.1509	5e-04	0.9938	1e-04	6e-04
86	-1.7	2.1624	0.1569	4.168	1e-04	0.999	1e-04	8e-04
87	-0.7	2.5776	0.4828	4.6723	0.0011	1	0.0041	0.0041

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
76	0.0573	0.0214	0	0.0133	0	0
77	0.0901	-0.009	0.0152	0.0019	0.0076	0.0872
78	0.127	-0.2395	0.09	1.0157	0.3436	0.5862
79	0.1534	-0.3286	0.1496	1.7456	0.6941	0.8332
80	0.179	-0.4551	0.2107	3.075	1.1703	1.0818
81	0.2019	-0.4924	0.2577	3.3972	1.5415	1.2416
82	0.2605	-0.8085	0.3364	6.4199	2.2384	1.4961
83	0.2595	-0.7918	0.3933	7.0877	2.8445	1.6866
84	0.3339	-1.0722	0.4687	8.8318	3.5098	1.8734
85	0.4358	-1.4467	0.5665	10.4887	4.2077	2.0513
86	0.4732	-1.7861	0.6774	14.9185	5.1814	2.2763
87	0.4146	-1.2716	0.7269	10.7425	5.6448	2.3759