ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iterationar1ar2ar3ma1sar1sar2sma1
Estimates ( 1 )0.1161-0.20340.0932-0.74980.1978-0.275-0.9998
(p-val)(0.626 )(0.2582 )(0.6131 )(1e-04 )(0.3593 )(0.2537 )(0.3397 )
Estimates ( 2 )0-0.24190.0452-0.67950.166-0.2852-1.0014
(p-val)(NA )(0.1364 )(0.7616 )(0 )(0.4155 )(0.2291 )(0.3658 )
Estimates ( 3 )0-0.24580-0.67080.1754-0.293-0.9945
(p-val)(NA )(0.1287 )(NA )(0 )(0.3805 )(0.2134 )(0.359 )
Estimates ( 4 )0-0.25220-0.66960-0.3418-0.5541
(p-val)(NA )(0.1173 )(NA )(0 )(NA )(0.0917 )(0.043 )
Estimates ( 5 )000-1.32940-0.2906-0.5071
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(0 )(NA )(0.1644 )(0.0345 )
Estimates ( 6 )000-1.360700-0.5243
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(0 )(NA )(NA )(0.0139 )
Estimates ( 7 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 8 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 9 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 10 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 11 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 12 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 13 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )


Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-0.000143475030853888
-0.0001940182330668
0.00199140072266624
0.000879998548947875
-0.000355054970213926
0.00162547792956904
0.000700837267162406
0.00101877622271817
0.000765798440130075
-0.00168698108848191
-0.00192235680358526
0.000126837315874700
0.00116513105073010
-9.38619991196976e-05
-0.000942138603918703
-0.00148883856598920
0.00171065300493595
1.74395437897049e-05
-0.000398122633221746
-0.000590323391282272
-0.00113023300224565
-0.00223799635803563
0.000383852563263706
0.00109299698680634
-0.000366298488849872
0.000745362442335659
0.000374761499988206
-0.00151364545186309
0.00109937998723702
-0.00205746316019544
-0.00420682307049248
0.00136226930780183
-0.00039053954769172
0.000545565995444555
-0.000483898614755681
-0.00246560348426484
0.000603655597968983
-0.00102957423969875
-0.00232725356803392
0.000199626411537217
0.00138866143858144
0.00138029926871815
-0.00052327549338725
0.000151203354345964
-0.000179123073762421
0.000784297191591547