| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 20366 | 20366 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 22782 | 21192.8451924941 | 958.180291958592 | 1589.15480750587 | 0.988967204645153 |
| 3 | 19169 | 20924.5075597769 | 237.625787910858 | -1755.50755977685 | -0.433375364748934 |
| 4 | 13807 | 16728.1081653659 | -2217.32226812177 | -2921.1081653659 | -1.7247754410732 |
| 5 | 29743 | 23289.7234775358 | 2906.12968894333 | 6453.27652246422 | 3.30016680842751 |
| 6 | 25591 | 27163.6033929735 | 3456.1972338822 | -1572.60339297348 | 0.340923758438181 |
| 7 | 29096 | 29875.2594632604 | 3038.61256038465 | -779.259463260393 | -0.262471663803087 |
| 8 | 26482 | 28864.1054217508 | 757.880330871136 | -2382.10542175076 | -1.43811313382639 |
| 9 | 22405 | 24645.2781362471 | -2053.83036759147 | -2240.27813624709 | -1.76855917728509 |
| 10 | 27044 | 24815.4945042030 | -796.706078128616 | 2228.50549579695 | 0.79036270804015 |
| 11 | 17970 | 20595.2929229606 | -2731.40230129571 | -2625.29292296061 | -1.21659674231775 |
| 12 | 18730 | 18041.7774424149 | -2630.90634946330 | 688.222557585148 | 0.0631944230686166 |
| 13 | 19684 | 17940.7657967778 | -1209.6656350544 | 1743.23420322219 | 0.898094254258725 |
| 14 | 19785 | 16975.8805688021 | -1071.41298390565 | 2809.11943119794 | 0.088424326657573 |
| 15 | 18479 | 17684.1298134932 | -79.2062242131777 | 794.87018650684 | 0.618855614954735 |
| 16 | 10698 | 17854.5161972362 | 56.30386771606 | -7156.51619723621 | 0.085437351820229 |
| 17 | 31956 | 23169.6110041315 | 2934.10362911587 | 8786.38899586854 | 1.84118317930649 |
| 18 | 29506 | 29556.1799680129 | 4836.07240260554 | -50.1799680129234 | 1.19792108688685 |
| 19 | 34506 | 34022.2056016801 | 4633.8536221962 | 483.794398319929 | -0.126525407088543 |
| 20 | 27165 | 31726.9232165526 | 863.18658177475 | -4561.92321655261 | -2.36958844976569 |
| 21 | 26736 | 29995.5918444113 | -551.226994155067 | -3259.59184441131 | -0.890169520138849 |
| 22 | 23691 | 23177.6396485601 | -3973.12433948536 | 513.360351439931 | -2.15211394615063 |
| 23 | 18157 | 19625.1733051999 | -3743.46334955044 | -1468.17330519993 | 0.144432763473818 |
| 24 | 17328 | 16921.7516658738 | -3176.10878602574 | 406.248334126226 | 0.357106617504284 |
| 25 | 18205 | 15389.4376130231 | -2278.77828165536 | 2815.56238697694 | 0.565959870835344 |
| 26 | 20995 | 16663.2333219120 | -336.706685552547 | 4331.76667808803 | 1.22336394634789 |
| 27 | 17382 | 17277.2672774953 | 180.429617990396 | 104.732722504681 | 0.324164237801773 |
| 28 | 9367 | 19048.0743240818 | 1038.98436277583 | -9681.07432408175 | 0.539795864984487 |
| 29 | 31124 | 23112.4278455529 | 2674.04732261211 | 8011.57215444708 | 1.03437660202425 |
| 30 | 26551 | 26436.6703575828 | 3027.02458887888 | 114.32964241719 | 0.222722004728340 |
| 31 | 30651 | 27994.9739695498 | 2230.62476596333 | 2656.0260304502 | -0.499948109818415 |
| 32 | 25859 | 28999.3823431991 | 1568.08966123052 | -3140.38234319911 | -0.415776007046794 |
| 33 | 25100 | 27138.7314052673 | -282.324749683393 | -2038.73140526729 | -1.16318783698822 |
| 34 | 25778 | 25488.7724371708 | -1020.78188437583 | 289.227562829242 | -0.464583200189152 |
| 35 | 20418 | 22910.08623837 | -1862.35774838318 | -2492.08623837002 | -0.529670212222713 |
| 36 | 18688 | 19653.3180983905 | -2616.00549608923 | -965.318098390518 | -0.47458871454281 |
| 37 | 20424 | 18146.3097939701 | -2016.04642108720 | 2277.69020602994 | 0.377787345280847 |
| 38 | 24776 | 19263.4623917253 | -321.405371029287 | 5512.53760827467 | 1.06524751903637 |
| 39 | 19814 | 20470.3820088242 | 502.626193894056 | -656.382008824207 | 0.517191853013738 |
| 40 | 12738 | 23113.5352435085 | 1652.88333387154 | -10375.5352435085 | 0.72330051130369 |
| 41 | 31566 | 24521.7489440224 | 1521.34824239696 | 7044.25105597757 | -0.0829657380246594 |
| 42 | 30111 | 28219.1129917046 | 2694.19582032018 | 1891.88700829542 | 0.739481438473368 |
| 43 | 30019 | 28457.0039606662 | 1369.86227348265 | 1561.99603933382 | -0.832589600462527 |
| 44 | 31934 | 31873.7445910148 | 2471.01457544313 | 60.2554089851608 | 0.691281070924243 |
| 45 | 25826 | 29872.0560931338 | 69.7103544923293 | -4046.05609313384 | -1.50860829147536 |
| 46 | 26835 | 26574.9018829367 | -1736.9555322795 | 260.098117063315 | -1.13655258581735 |
| 47 | 20205 | 22654.2773848609 | -2909.39880887272 | -2449.27738486092 | -0.738252364671326 |
| 48 | 17789 | 19331.4099970327 | -3131.6273352766 | -1542.40999703273 | -0.139956573977509 |
| 49 | 20520 | 18392.7960406685 | -1952.09547809241 | 2127.20395933148 | 0.742239425622086 |
| 50 | 22518 | 17551.7016378320 | -1354.97374808054 | 4966.29836216804 | 0.375189097242518 |
| 51 | 15572 | 16924.7903523204 | -964.574603769477 | -1352.79035232043 | 0.24515725933423 |
| 52 | 11509 | 19977.374456932 | 1185.26905455739 | -8468.37445693202 | 1.35197119230072 |
| 53 | 25447 | 20501.2522577965 | 831.200318162305 | 4945.74774220348 | -0.223095983629654 |
| 54 | 24090 | 21503.6858491850 | 923.025987983084 | 2586.31415081497 | 0.057859544180473 |
| 55 | 27786 | 25315.7263084633 | 2473.13874923827 | 2470.27369153667 | 0.974953278542742 |
| 56 | 26195 | 25492.2465106688 | 1242.65898510451 | 702.75348933124 | -0.772802277934032 |
| 57 | 20516 | 23839.2608111191 | -305.713893246069 | -3323.26081111909 | -0.972674190162594 |
| 58 | 22759 | 21787.9361281382 | -1238.29266853464 | 971.063871861812 | -0.586591924232752 |
| 59 | 19028 | 20894.1820914719 | -1054.13716245344 | -1866.18209147188 | 0.115960509178643 |
| 60 | 16971 | 19616.5935575569 | -1173.70450066586 | -2645.59355755693 | -0.075295778914886 |
