Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
47	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	8	16	9.8749	22.1251	0.0052	0.5	0.5	0.5
50	3	16	7.3378	24.6622	0.0016	0.9649	0.9649	0.5
51	0	16	5.391	26.609	0.0016	0.9918	0.9918	0.5
52	5	16	3.7498	28.2502	0.0392	0.9948	0.9948	0.5
53	1	16	2.3039	29.6961	0.0159	0.9423	0.9423	0.5
54	1	16	0.9966	31.0034	0.025	0.975	0.975	0.5
55	3	16	-0.2055	32.2055	0.0579	0.9652	0.9652	0.5
56	6	16	-1.3244	33.3244	0.129	0.9293	0.9293	0.5
57	7	16	-2.3753	34.3753	0.1685	0.8569	0.8569	0.5
58	8	16	-3.3693	35.3693	0.2091	0.8188	0.8188	0.5
59	14	16	-4.3147	36.3147	0.4235	0.7799	0.7799	0.5
60	14	16	-5.218	37.218	0.4267	0.5733	0.5733	0.5
61	13	16	-6.0844	38.0844	0.395	0.5704	0.5704	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1953	-0.5	0	64	0	0
50	0.2762	-0.8125	0.6562	169	116.5	10.7935
51	0.3383	-1	0.7708	256	163	12.7671
52	0.3906	-0.6875	0.75	121	152.5	12.3491
53	0.4367	-0.9375	0.7875	225	167	12.9228
54	0.4784	-0.9375	0.8125	225	176.6667	13.2916
55	0.5168	-0.8125	0.8125	169	175.5714	13.2503
56	0.5524	-0.625	0.7891	100	166.125	12.8889
57	0.5859	-0.5625	0.7639	81	156.6667	12.5167
58	0.6176	-0.5	0.7375	64	147.4	12.1408
59	0.6478	-0.125	0.6818	4	134.3636	11.5915
60	0.6766	-0.125	0.6354	4	123.5	11.1131
61	0.7042	-0.1875	0.601	9	114.6923	10.7094