Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[47])
46	76.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	71.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	75.7	73.7292	67.7478	79.7105	0.2592	0.8055	0.8055	0.8055
49	70	72.3467	65.727	78.9663	0.2436	0.1604	0.1604	0.644
50	68.5	73.0736	65.0749	81.0724	0.1312	0.7743	0.7743	0.6857
51	56.7	72.6914	63.9115	81.4713	2e-04	0.8253	0.8253	0.6388
52	57.9	72.8924	63.2118	82.573	0.0012	0.9995	0.9995	0.6417
53	58.8	72.7867	62.3733	83.2	0.0042	0.9975	0.9975	0.6246
54	59.3	72.8423	61.7001	83.9844	0.0086	0.9932	0.9932	0.6204
55	61.3	72.813	61.009	84.6171	0.028	0.9876	0.9876	0.612
56	62.9	72.8284	60.3867	85.2701	0.0589	0.9653	0.9653	0.6073
57	61.4	72.8203	59.7776	85.8631	0.0431	0.932	0.932	0.602
58	64.5	72.8246	59.2045	86.4446	0.1155	0.9499	0.9499	0.598
59	63.8	72.8223	58.6498	86.9948	0.1061	0.8751	0.8751	0.5941
60	61.6	72.8235	58.1186	87.5284	0.0673	0.8855	0.8855	0.5908

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
48	0.0414	0.0267	0	3.8842	0	0
49	0.0467	-0.0324	0.0296	5.5068	4.6955	2.1669
50	0.0558	-0.0626	0.0406	20.9181	10.103	3.1785
51	0.0616	-0.22	0.0854	255.7238	71.5082	8.4563
52	0.0678	-0.2057	0.1095	224.7713	102.1608	10.1075
53	0.073	-0.1922	0.1233	195.6272	117.7386	10.8507
54	0.078	-0.1859	0.1322	183.3927	127.1177	11.2747
55	0.0827	-0.1581	0.1355	132.5499	127.7968	11.3047
56	0.0872	-0.1363	0.1355	98.5731	124.5497	11.1602
57	0.0914	-0.1568	0.1377	130.4237	125.1371	11.1865
58	0.0954	-0.1143	0.1356	69.2984	120.0608	10.9572
59	0.0993	-0.1239	0.1346	81.4025	116.8393	10.8092
60	0.103	-0.1541	0.1361	125.9671	117.5415	10.8417