Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[48])
36852-------
37649-------
38629-------
39685-------
40617-------
41715-------
42715-------
43629-------
44916-------
45531-------
46357-------
47917-------
48828-------
49708715.0637588.0911888.07880.46810.10040.77290.1004
50858707.0253579.1905882.37230.04570.49570.80840.0882
51775752.7526609.8872952.39480.41360.15070.7470.23
52785697.7439566.8776879.76870.17370.20270.80770.0804
531006792.8695632.78161022.38730.03440.52680.7470.3821
54789749.3934598.8782964.69790.35920.00970.62290.2371
55734713.2117570.4116917.20640.42080.23330.79080.135
56906935.4675722.1961259.30750.42920.88860.54690.7423
57532503.4428413.5775626.1280.324100.32990
58387377.3305316.938456.7850.40571e-040.6920
59991950.4261722.11231306.98770.41180.9990.57290.7495
60841902.2038686.99341236.9890.36010.30160.6680.668


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
490.1234-0.0099049.896400
500.12650.21350.111722793.359211421.6278106.872
510.13530.02960.0843494.9497779.401588.2009
520.13310.12510.09457613.63417737.959787.9657
530.14770.26880.129445424.620415275.2918123.5933
540.14660.05290.11661568.685112990.8574113.9774
550.14590.02910.1041432.153311196.7568105.8147
560.1766-0.03150.095868.33429905.70499.5274
570.12430.05670.0908815.51368895.682894.3169
580.10740.02560.084393.49928015.464489.5291
590.19140.04270.08051646.24247436.444386.2348
600.1893-0.06780.07943745.89997128.898984.4328