Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[69])
57112.5-------
58122.4-------
59113.3-------
60100-------
61110.7-------
62112.8-------
63109.8-------
64117.3-------
65109.1-------
66115.9-------
6796-------
6899.8-------
69116.8-------
70115.7121.6435114.954128.3330.04080.92210.41230.9221
7199.4111.4002104.6014118.19913e-040.10760.2920.0598
7294.3106.381799.4714113.29213e-040.97620.96490.0016
7391108.5615100.888116.23500.99990.29250.0177
7493.2107.321699.6109115.03242e-0410.08190.008
75103.1118.6898110.8112126.56841e-0410.98650.6809
7694.1112.9234104.8518120.99500.99150.14390.1733
7791.8110.2245102.1533118.2958010.60760.0552
78102.7120.4849112.2726128.6972010.86310.8104
7982.695.527787.2483103.80720.00110.04480.45550
8089.1104.821996.5346113.10931e-0410.88250.0023
81104.5120.9564112.5741129.33871e-0410.83440.8344


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
700.0281-0.0489035.325300
710.0311-0.10770.0783144.005589.66549.4692
720.0331-0.11360.0901145.9683108.43310.4131
730.0361-0.16180.108308.4071158.426512.5868
740.0367-0.13160.1127199.4204166.625312.9083
750.0339-0.13130.1158243.0404179.361213.3926
760.0365-0.16670.1231354.3195204.355214.2953
770.0374-0.16720.1286339.4635221.243714.8743
780.0348-0.14760.1307316.3024231.805815.2252
790.0442-0.13530.1312167.1266225.337915.0113
800.0403-0.150.1329247.1789227.323415.0772
810.0354-0.13610.1331270.8131230.947615.197