Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[97])
85	105.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	106.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	104.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	107.44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	108.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	108.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	109.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	110.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	109.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	110.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	110.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	109.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	109.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	109.11	109.2354	108.5771	109.8936	0.3545	0.4708	1	0.4708
99	107.06	107.8142	106.8367	108.7918	0.0652	0.0047	1	0.0019
100	109.53	109.9922	108.754	111.2304	0.2322	1	1	0.8768
101	108.92	110.2785	108.8144	111.7427	0.0345	0.8418	0.9969	0.9136
102	109.24	110.6173	108.9519	112.2828	0.0525	0.9771	0.9946	0.9449
103	109.12	110.9435	109.0954	112.7915	0.0266	0.9646	0.9503	0.9629
104	109	111.2197	109.2039	113.2356	0.0155	0.9794	0.8509	0.9716
105	107.23	110.1565	107.9849	112.328	0.0041	0.8517	0.8229	0.7908
106	109.49	111.6485	109.3313	113.9658	0.0339	0.9999	0.8765	0.9783
107	109.04	111.5266	109.072	113.9813	0.0235	0.948	0.8606	0.9648
108	109.02	111.5158	108.931	114.1007	0.0292	0.9698	0.8764	0.9564
109	109.23	111.5103	108.8015	114.2191	0.0495	0.9642	0.9483	0.9483

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
98	0.0031	-0.0011	1e-04	0.0157	0.0013	0.0362
99	0.0046	-0.007	6e-04	0.5689	0.0474	0.2177
100	0.0057	-0.0042	4e-04	0.2136	0.0178	0.1334
101	0.0068	-0.0123	0.001	1.8457	0.1538	0.3922
102	0.0077	-0.0125	0.001	1.8971	0.1581	0.3976
103	0.0085	-0.0164	0.0014	3.325	0.2771	0.5264
104	0.0092	-0.02	0.0017	4.9272	0.4106	0.6408
105	0.0101	-0.0266	0.0022	8.5642	0.7137	0.8448
106	0.0106	-0.0193	0.0016	4.6593	0.3883	0.6231
107	0.0112	-0.0223	0.0019	6.1832	0.5153	0.7178
108	0.0118	-0.0224	0.0019	6.2292	0.5191	0.7205
109	0.0124	-0.0204	0.0017	5.1999	0.4333	0.6583