Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[143])
142	527	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
143	510	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
144	514	508.383	473.4173	543.3488	0.3764	0.4639	0.4639	0.4639
145	517	510.8913	456.4739	565.3088	0.4129	0.4554	0.4554	0.5128
146	508	513.5325	446.3173	580.7477	0.4359	0.4597	0.4597	0.541
147	493	515.1973	439.1791	591.2154	0.2836	0.5736	0.5736	0.5533
148	490	515.8114	433.2475	598.3752	0.27	0.7059	0.7059	0.5549
149	469	515.597	427.7283	603.4657	0.1493	0.716	0.716	0.5497
150	478	514.8053	422.2973	607.3133	0.2178	0.8341	0.8341	0.5405
151	528	513.6372	416.8306	610.4439	0.3856	0.7647	0.7647	0.5294
152	534	512.234	411.2843	613.1836	0.3363	0.3798	0.3798	0.5173
153	518	510.6878	405.645	615.7306	0.4457	0.3318	0.3318	0.5051
154	506	509.0567	399.9108	618.2026	0.4781	0.4362	0.4362	0.4932
155	502	507.3759	394.0833	620.6685	0.4629	0.5095	0.5095	0.4819

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
144	0.0351	0.011	9e-04	31.5504	2.6292	1.6215
145	0.0543	0.012	0.001	37.3157	3.1096	1.7634
146	0.0668	-0.0108	9e-04	30.6081	2.5507	1.5971
147	0.0753	-0.0431	0.0036	492.7185	41.0599	6.4078
148	0.0817	-0.05	0.0042	666.2261	55.5188	7.4511
149	0.0869	-0.0904	0.0075	2171.2792	180.9399	13.4514
150	0.0917	-0.0715	0.006	1354.6289	112.8857	10.6248
151	0.0962	0.028	0.0023	206.2888	17.1907	4.1462
152	0.1005	0.0425	0.0035	473.7603	39.48	6.2833
153	0.1049	0.0143	0.0012	53.4679	4.4557	2.1108
154	0.1094	-0.006	5e-04	9.3435	0.7786	0.8824
155	0.1139	-0.0106	9e-04	28.9002	2.4084	1.5519