Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 9.57163647419904 -0.895777001450823X[t] + 0.510443451262783Y1[t] + 0.069926144750079Y2[t] + 0.32209278622004Y3[t] + 0.184045519935524M1[t] + 0.42493619565798M2[t] -0.266547955685569M3[t] -0.0195626395711653M4[t] -0.347632735869259M5[t] + 0.085924062365643M6[t] -0.976484902148307M7[t] + 0.589330506720091M8[t] + 0.698736392866317M9[t] -0.536921805692414M10[t] -0.228775212256733M11[t] + 0.00858164404031952t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)9.5716364741990411.2901670.84780.401480.20074
X-0.8957770014508230.439234-2.03940.047890.023945
Y10.5104434512627830.1497663.40830.0014780.000739
Y20.0699261447500790.1719560.40670.6863790.343189
Y30.322092786220040.1608872.0020.0519320.025966
M10.1840455199355240.6696720.27480.7848270.392414
M20.424936195657980.6597220.64410.5230890.261544
M3-0.2665479556855690.647923-0.41140.682930.341465
M4-0.01956263957116530.653785-0.02990.9762740.488137
M5-0.3476327358692590.624573-0.55660.5808310.290416
M60.0859240623656430.6421280.13380.8942060.447103
M7-0.9764849021483070.637742-1.53120.133410.066705
M80.5893305067200910.6525460.90310.3717360.185868
M90.6987363928663170.6421811.08810.282920.14146
M10-0.5369218056924140.752804-0.71320.4797440.239872
M11-0.2287752122567330.74094-0.30880.7590650.379532
t0.008581644040319520.0112220.76470.4488020.224401


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.861077793082703
R-squared0.741454965740179
Adjusted R-squared0.640559342614395
F-TEST (value)7.3487327078185
F-TEST (DF numerator)16
F-TEST (DF denominator)41
p-value1.28898840601188e-07
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.902740058097228
Sum Squared Residuals33.4125241122289


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1101.68101.6281185328820.0518814671180148
2101.7102.137934795428-0.437934795428357
3101.53101.2419172431760.288082756824178
4101.76101.2736074414360.486392558563743
5101.15101.0660753940860.0839246059141901
6100.92101.158170570726-0.23817057072585
7100.73100.0183676489950.711632351005163
8100.55101.283220833277-0.733220833276891
9102.15101.2219612339030.928038766097003
10100.79100.7378098659680.0521901340317782
1199.93100.414240139807-0.484240139807354
12100.03100.632864529110-0.602864529110379
13100.25100.378353364468-0.128353364468177
1499.6100.470116061835-0.870116061834543
15100.1699.50301834167750.656981658322482
16100.49100.0698420534200.420157946579741
1799.7299.7485982700962-0.0285982700962151
18100.14100.0011428429500.138857157050156
1998.4899.2141492600016-0.734149260001632
20100.3899.72256771921970.657432280780257
21101.45100.8295993767330.62040062326715
2298.4299.7468829649655-1.32688296496551
2398.699.203764813816-0.60376481381594
24100.0699.6657645540030.394235445997012
2598.6299.6402847206308-1.02028472063079
26100.8499.314787343431.52521265657012
27100.02100.134631117371-0.114631117371182
2897.9599.6630568766787-1.71305687667873
2998.3298.9446570270204-0.624657027020433
3098.2799.1667963419298-0.896796341929778
3197.2297.446587454975-0.226587454975053
3299.2898.60069690772180.679303092278244
33100.3899.6806708562110.699329143788943
3499.0298.82093253073580.199067469264175
35100.3299.18388757333281.13611242666718
3699.81100.344023424253-0.53402342425341
37100.699.9291822270010.670817772998906
38101.19100.9649631615250.225036838475027
39100.47100.474196623847-0.00419662384713008
40101.77100.6579540256091.11204597439097
41102.32101.1417299796431.17827002035736
42102.39101.7236095022090.66639049779094
43101.16101.162693225022-0.00269322502242635
44100.63102.291290695431-1.66129069543145
45101.48102.075280533442-0.595280533441516
46101.4499.95306892727751.48693107272254
47100.09100.138107473044-0.0481074730438910
48100.799.95734749263320.742652507366776
49100.78100.3540611550180.425938844982044
5099.81100.252198637782-0.442198637782247
5198.4599.2762366739284-0.82623667392835
5298.4998.7955396028557-0.305539602855722
5397.4898.088939329155-0.6089393291549
5497.9197.58028074218550.32971925781453
5596.9496.6882024110060.251797588993949
5698.5397.47222384435021.05777615564984
5796.8298.4724879997116-1.65248799971158
5895.7696.171305711053-0.411305711052982


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
200.04974321749020920.09948643498041840.95025678250979
210.07691727767222360.1538345553444470.923082722327776
220.06939735464356270.1387947092871250.930602645356437
230.04590583332983660.09181166665967310.954094166670163
240.04013858621788260.08027717243576520.959861413782117
250.02313568693835440.04627137387670880.976864313061646
260.1249364369792620.2498728739585250.875063563020738
270.0836131212858170.1672262425716340.916386878714183
280.1950096516613560.3900193033227130.804990348338644
290.1682091764788030.3364183529576070.831790823521196
300.1780039920866280.3560079841732560.821996007913372
310.1737386600727940.3474773201455880.826261339927206
320.1274535611836970.2549071223673940.872546438816303
330.07782845023892250.1556569004778450.922171549761078
340.1582160872920430.3164321745840850.841783912707957
350.2260087425118050.4520174850236090.773991257488195
360.240104920361410.480209840722820.75989507963859
370.3724327751810590.7448655503621180.627567224818941
380.2280603110713860.4561206221427730.771939688928614


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level10.0526315789473684NOK
10% type I error level40.210526315789474NOK