Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[54])
421959.67-------
431969.6-------
442061.41-------
452093.48-------
462120.88-------
472174.56-------
482196.72-------
492350.44-------
502440.25-------
512408.64-------
522472.81-------
532407.6-------
542454.62-------
552448.052477.47342276.31872678.62820.38720.588110.5881
562497.842477.47342146.4142808.53290.4520.56910.99310.5538
572645.642477.47342054.69992900.2470.21780.46240.96250.5422
582756.762477.47341979.60342975.34340.13580.2540.91980.5358
592849.272477.47341914.43563040.51130.09780.16550.85420.5317
602921.442477.47341856.06483098.88210.08070.12050.81210.5287


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
550.0414-0.01190865.738600
560.06820.00820.01414.7969640.267825.3035
570.08710.06790.029328279.99349853.509699.2648
580.10250.11270.050278000.98526890.3785163.9829
590.1160.15010.0702138232.685349158.8398221.7179
600.1280.17920.0883197106.310273816.7516271.6924