Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	19640.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	17735.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	19813.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	22160	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	20664.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	17877.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	20906.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	21164.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	21374.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	22952.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	21343.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	23899.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	22392.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	18274.1	20309.3038	18611.8026	22006.8049	0.0094	0.0081	0.9985	0.0081
51	22786.7	22429.1876	20680.1666	24178.2085	0.3443	1	0.9983	0.5162
52	22321.5	24977.0628	23103.2631	26850.8626	0.0027	0.989	0.9984	0.9966
53	17842.2	23245.1072	21231.561	25258.6535	0	0.8157	0.994	0.7966
54	16373.5	20556.575	18522.4257	22590.7243	0	0.9955	0.9951	0.0384
55	15993.8	23618.6872	21532.5073	25704.8671	0	1	0.9946	0.8753
56	16446.1	23815.6533	21634.7236	25996.5829	0	1	0.9914	0.8995
57	17729	24042.1363	21825.7983	26258.4744	0	1	0.9908	0.9276
58	16643	25645.3966	23376.432	27914.3613	0	1	0.99	0.9975
59	16196.7	24008.2363	21675.7012	26340.7714	0	1	0.9874	0.9127
60	18252.1	26571.4367	24193.8295	28949.0439	0	1	0.9862	0.9997
61	17304	25074.151	22647.9294	27500.3726	0	1	0.9848	0.9848

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0426	-0.1002	0	4142054.3805	0	0
51	0.0398	0.0159	0.0581	127815.1427	2134934.7616	1461.1416
52	0.0383	-0.1063	0.0742	7052013.8981	3773961.1404	1942.6686
53	0.0442	-0.2324	0.1137	29191406.3828	10128322.451	3182.5025
54	0.0505	-0.2035	0.1317	17498116.5814	11602281.2771	3406.2122
55	0.0451	-0.3228	0.1635	58138904.2385	19358385.104	4399.8165
56	0.0467	-0.3094	0.1844	54310315.1375	24351517.9659	4934.7257
57	0.047	-0.2626	0.1942	39855690.5071	26289539.5336	5127.3326
58	0.0451	-0.351	0.2116	81043144.9801	32373273.4721	5689.7516
59	0.0496	-0.3254	0.223	61020099.4975	35237956.0746	5936.1567
60	0.0457	-0.3131	0.2312	69211362.9128	38326447.6054	6190.8358
61	0.0494	-0.3099	0.2377	60375246.6646	40163847.527	6337.4954