| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1649 | 0.2989 | -0.563 | -0.3588 | -0.1252 |
| (p-val) | (0.1811 ) | (0.007 ) | (0 ) | (0.0385 ) | (0.5116 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1558 | 0.2931 | -0.5683 | -0.3239 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.1888 ) | (0.007 ) | (0 ) | (0.0399 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.273 | -0.5288 | -0.4086 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0108 ) | (0 ) | (0.0031 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0125999890355114 |
| 2.34983475171661 |
| -2.03068987347286 |
| 5.03736475706582 |
| -6.04152574737165 |
| -6.55452890034205 |
| -0.354334007517026 |
| 1.27576667889068 |
| 8.76975026532941 |
| 1.50409739154893 |
| -0.359680049851322 |
| -2.09642820095443 |
| -1.44705378513000 |
| 1.40737044519148 |
| -6.50129424406854 |
| 9.88144241276322 |
| 3.2855374474651 |
| 0.116279569058321 |
| 0.603436777227053 |
| 2.82161392839699 |
| -2.62027619375155 |
| 0.495036585897648 |
| -4.89057504946131 |
| -3.17628027798077 |
| 3.64679284929018 |
| -5.19757692268966 |
| -1.4649478434737 |
| 0.907957360766126 |
| 0.654966373596215 |
| 0.930271185516082 |
| -1.61566264176774 |
| 1.39519897476196 |
| 4.32706755054632 |
| 3.2497142150318 |
| 1.96144834136437 |
| 1.89607806433634 |
| 4.40191586545361 |
| 2.57445703979067 |
| 5.23121511266553 |
| -10.0729119666730 |
| 0.864117798343081 |
| -1.50331358142218 |
| 2.18664374796631 |
| -1.87821653076002 |
| -1.04827691298515 |
| -2.44938179455263 |
| -2.48374004564598 |
| 3.45003581812378 |
| -5.70155650176489 |
| -4.03842954703882 |
| -1.17797831514631 |
| -7.3747727060673 |
| -0.636798877837876 |
| 1.08457672002646 |
| -1.60234075229272 |
| -1.26447249055316 |
| -2.64131175972921 |
| 2.96098941355191 |
| 4.27063625894707 |
| 2.65363902404972 |
