| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7271 | -0.2429 | 0.2622 | -0.4739 | 0.3071 | -0.1218 | -0.386 |
| (p-val) | (0.0105 ) | (0.1639 ) | (0.0487 ) | (0.081 ) | (0.8309 ) | (0.584 ) | (0.7943 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7269 | -0.2405 | 0.2612 | -0.4715 | 0 | -0.1417 | -0.0717 |
| (p-val) | (0.0105 ) | (0.1675 ) | (0.0495 ) | (0.082 ) | (NA ) | (0.4046 ) | (0.6017 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.7175 | -0.22 | 0.2505 | -0.4736 | 0 | -0.1366 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0116 ) | (0.1928 ) | (0.0577 ) | (0.0805 ) | (NA ) | (0.4228 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.7114 | -0.1943 | 0.2332 | -0.4562 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0179 ) | (0.2493 ) | (0.0758 ) | (0.1133 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.4784 | 0 | 0.1771 | -0.2721 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.247 ) | (NA ) | (0.1785 ) | (0.6077 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.269 | 0 | 0.1938 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0298 ) | (NA ) | (0.1124 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0.2857 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0243 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.92143833219936 |
| 56.5344284127095 |
| 79.2296009557986 |
| -5.12722202061804 |
| -5.51330036147182 |
| -80.703113494064 |
| 46.6965395704133 |
| 52.1461871331117 |
| 89.401169048745 |
| -12.8166246666951 |
| 0.494862768920029 |
| 45.2444653292746 |
| 107.861655479071 |
| 134.294278590169 |
| 86.2248242993783 |
| 40.3924618139404 |
| -84.1643974353265 |
| -116.708914931070 |
| -225.861164357119 |
| 197.961774502377 |
| 143.592629308019 |
| 109.365237280355 |
| 113.934166310223 |
| -15.2067473460529 |
| 53.7741261274832 |
| 95.867342318922 |
| 5.70338809923305 |
| -179.119186803822 |
| 243.819264386672 |
| 31.2867263221897 |
| -75.7638154727301 |
| -83.6357629065078 |
| -365.048433375402 |
| 205.535875730324 |
| 124.810475177602 |
| -297.547051217732 |
| 82.0717647815727 |
| -302.168586730156 |
| 13.6647622911596 |
| -15.5850743707274 |
| 248.494942869131 |
| -81.9111397696606 |
| -272.449405577557 |
| -427.466807236786 |
| 152.293381308511 |
| -31.0787281140497 |
| -650.318920418352 |
| 19.4847676203190 |
| -85.8833312810832 |
| 231.514178201253 |
| -70.3401490735866 |
| -86.1405619842415 |
| 224.02539523368 |
| 153.592495131008 |
| -45.5702269081949 |
| 9.59564736101333 |
| 175.139973697092 |
| 94.3319606501136 |
| 21.5990257010335 |
| -108.184405181233 |
