Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	148.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	101.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	134.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	143.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	81.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	90.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	141.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	140.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	140.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	100.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	125.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	119.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	134.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	109	122.3512	96.7937	147.9087	0.1529	0.1718	0.9459	0.1718
50	116.3	119.4098	93.6537	145.166	0.4065	0.7859	0.1208	0.1223
51	146.9	143.7155	117.7643	169.6667	0.405	0.9808	0.5005	0.752
52	97.4	87.5473	61.4046	113.69	0.23	0	0.6722	2e-04
53	89.4	90.9187	64.5879	117.2495	0.455	0.3147	0.5184	6e-04
54	132.1	138.8963	112.3808	165.4118	0.3077	0.9999	0.4237	0.6218
55	139.8	130.5717	103.8748	157.2686	0.249	0.4553	0.2286	0.3809
56	129	131.3607	104.4856	158.2358	0.4317	0.2691	0.2596	0.4038
57	112.5	113.0995	86.0494	140.1497	0.4827	0.1246	0.825	0.0588
58	121.9	122.5141	95.2921	149.7361	0.4824	0.7646	0.4093	0.1901
59	121.7	127.6006	100.2097	154.9915	0.3364	0.6583	0.7165	0.3057
60	123.1	150.2627	122.7059	177.8195	0.0267	0.9789	0.8658	0.8658

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1066	-0.1091	0	178.2544	0	0
50	0.11	-0.026	0.0676	9.671	93.9627	9.6934
51	0.0921	0.0222	0.0524	10.1411	66.0222	8.1254
52	0.1524	0.1125	0.0675	97.0753	73.7855	8.5898
53	0.1478	-0.0167	0.0573	2.3065	59.4897	7.713
54	0.0974	-0.0489	0.0559	46.1896	57.273	7.5679
55	0.1043	0.0707	0.058	85.1608	61.257	7.8267
56	0.1044	-0.018	0.053	5.5729	54.2965	7.3686
57	0.122	-0.0053	0.0477	0.3595	48.3035	6.9501
58	0.1134	-0.005	0.0434	0.3771	43.5108	6.5963
59	0.1095	-0.0462	0.0437	34.8171	42.7205	6.5361
60	0.0936	-0.1808	0.0551	737.8116	100.6447	10.0322