| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2857 | 0.291 | -0.0017 | -0.8693 |
| (p-val) | (0.2985 ) | (0.1589 ) | (0.9918 ) | (9e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2869 | 0.2917 | 0 | -0.8708 |
| (p-val) | (0.2557 ) | (0.1373 ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1461 | 0 | -0.6094 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.3165 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5542 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.120899915290805 |
| -1.09811355532737 |
| 5.53423191972653 |
| -6.25718470900612 |
| -13.2752620043223 |
| 2.55903737970698 |
| -1.38500473899820 |
| -1.68761977917374 |
| 12.9846298487075 |
| -4.46013681728405 |
| -6.27569609575876 |
| -2.12761084051564 |
| -0.36287392027422 |
| 2.99346284341904 |
| -2.87796412494960 |
| 4.87858836810139 |
| 1.34517934786598 |
| 8.38252836321226 |
| -6.55543430077135 |
| 1.24852986308468 |
| -2.68599129736564 |
| -2.98652567178951 |
| 2.73961124344962 |
| 0.928034322348153 |
| 3.91041613535494 |
| -3.40000657014317 |
| -0.341824420489852 |
| 2.75363269412087 |
| -3.15787240186501 |
| 8.66870689256403 |
| -2.25962378141825 |
| -2.96949551340303 |
| -3.31173032128523 |
| 4.98173734070675 |
| -1.46953576487894 |
| -12.5182296980820 |
| -2.81310829491272 |
| 2.93420031600256 |
| 1.78920277966684 |
| 11.8375019692732 |
| 6.3264544609504 |
| -2.18072318047929 |
| -0.612120130436807 |
| -9.13023308623771 |
| 7.04812029512112 |
| 1.76860161046201 |
| 4.52245175901611 |
| -6.17412555367864 |
| -3.53698199878036 |
| -12.0676514927972 |
| -11.2004633391007 |
| -0.775027144319068 |
| -9.43177853458636 |
| 4.30919554309783 |
| -4.78596771583659 |
| -2.1799027168873 |
| 4.55712594320374 |
| 1.34122768412851 |
| -1.25464668271977 |
| -2.20391479340057 |
