Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	557	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	566	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	620	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	626	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	620	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	573	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	573	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	574	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	580	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	590	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	593	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	597	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	595	602.2766	585.7771	618.7761	0.1937	0.7346	1	0.7346
50	612	622.4804	598.9061	646.0547	0.1918	0.9888	0.9979	0.9829
51	628	656.5398	625.8764	687.2031	0.0341	0.9978	0.9902	0.9999
52	629	661.0152	621.2417	700.7888	0.0573	0.9481	0.9578	0.9992
53	621	654.7182	607.1851	702.2513	0.0822	0.8555	0.9239	0.9913
54	569	608.1569	553.0188	663.2951	0.082	0.324	0.8943	0.6542
55	567	607.5979	544.8054	670.3904	0.1025	0.8859	0.8599	0.6296
56	573	608.5589	538.6873	678.4305	0.1593	0.8781	0.8338	0.6271
57	584	614.6136	537.9035	691.3238	0.217	0.8562	0.8118	0.6737
58	589	624.4181	541.1085	707.7278	0.2023	0.8292	0.791	0.7406
59	591	627.41	537.8437	716.9764	0.2128	0.7997	0.7743	0.7471
60	595	631.3957	535.8109	726.9806	0.2277	0.7963	0.7597	0.7597

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.014	-0.0121	0	52.9494	0	0
50	0.0193	-0.0168	0.0145	109.8383	81.3938	9.0219
51	0.0238	-0.0435	0.0241	814.5195	325.7691	18.0491
52	0.0307	-0.0484	0.0302	1024.9758	500.5708	22.3734
53	0.037	-0.0515	0.0345	1136.9185	627.8403	25.0567
54	0.0463	-0.0644	0.0395	1533.2665	778.7447	27.906
55	0.0527	-0.0668	0.0434	1648.1866	902.9507	30.0491
56	0.0586	-0.0584	0.0452	1264.4354	948.1363	30.7918
57	0.0637	-0.0498	0.0458	937.1936	946.9204	30.7721
58	0.0681	-0.0567	0.0468	1254.444	977.6728	31.2678
59	0.0728	-0.058	0.0479	1325.691	1009.3108	31.7697
60	0.0772	-0.0576	0.0487	1324.6494	1035.589	32.1806