Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	214	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	193	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	192	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	192	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	186	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	150	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	246	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	282	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	264	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	336	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	301	317.5519	248.1374	386.9664	0.3201	0.3012	0.9983	0.3012
50	376	309.8602	233.5849	386.1354	0.0446	0.5901	0.9987	0.2509
51	416	307.7077	225.7404	389.6751	0.0048	0.0512	1	0.2494
52	344	320.2211	228.4566	411.9856	0.3058	0.0204	0.9931	0.3681
53	326	315.8303	217.2163	414.4444	0.4199	0.2878	0.9931	0.3443
54	351	317.8438	213.0395	422.6481	0.2676	0.4394	0.9907	0.3671
55	249	315.3409	204.1174	426.5644	0.1212	0.2649	0.9887	0.3579
56	258	304.9478	187.8735	422.0221	0.2159	0.8255	0.9953	0.3016
57	311	332.5158	209.9145	455.1171	0.3654	0.8832	0.9167	0.4778
58	343	342.6332	214.6666	470.5997	0.4978	0.686	0.8235	0.5405
59	278	337.487	204.3962	470.5778	0.1905	0.4676	0.8604	0.5087

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1115	-0.0521	0	273.9644	0	0
50	0.1256	0.2135	0.1328	4374.477	2324.2207	48.2102
51	0.1359	0.3519	0.2058	11727.2187	5458.5534	73.882
52	0.1462	0.0743	0.1729	565.4349	4235.2738	65.079
53	0.1593	0.0322	0.1448	103.4225	3408.9035	58.3858
54	0.1682	0.1043	0.138	1099.3358	3023.9756	54.9907
55	0.18	-0.2104	0.1484	4401.1168	3220.71	56.7513
56	0.1959	-0.154	0.1491	2204.0945	3093.6331	55.6204
57	0.1881	-0.0647	0.1397	462.93	2801.3327	52.9276
58	0.1906	0.0011	0.1258	0.1346	2521.2129	50.2117
59	0.2012	-0.1763	0.1304	3538.7029	2613.712	51.1245