Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	1448.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1492.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1395.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1403.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1316.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1274.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1264.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1323.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1332.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1250.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1096.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1080.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1039.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	792	1027.7117	937.7231	1117.7003	0	0.4012	0	0.4012
51	746.6	1014.3637	867.0796	1161.6479	2e-04	0.9985	0	0.3705
52	688.8	1013.1591	820.3282	1205.99	5e-04	0.9966	0	0.3956
53	715.8	1004.1782	773.3983	1234.9581	0.0072	0.9963	0.004	0.3831
54	672.9	1000.0239	736.3767	1263.6712	0.0075	0.9827	0.0207	0.3854
55	629.5	1001.5589	708.6216	1294.4962	0.0064	0.9861	0.0393	0.4006
56	681.2	1002.828	683.2501	1322.4059	0.0243	0.989	0.0245	0.4117
57	755.4	1000.8074	656.6384	1344.9765	0.0811	0.9656	0.0296	0.4135
58	760.6	992.1996	625.081	1359.3181	0.1081	0.8969	0.0842	0.4009
59	765.9	980.4152	591.6993	1369.1312	0.1397	0.8661	0.2788	0.3835
60	836.8	985.3823	576.2069	1394.5577	0.2383	0.8535	0.3238	0.3983
61	904.9	981.0437	552.3836	1409.7038	0.3639	0.7452	0.3952	0.3952

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0447	-0.2294	0	55559.9937	0	0
51	0.0741	-0.264	0.2467	71697.4209	63628.7073	252.2473
52	0.0971	-0.3201	0.2712	105208.852	77488.7555	278.368
53	0.1173	-0.2872	0.2752	83161.9681	78907.0587	280.904
54	0.1345	-0.3271	0.2856	107010.0719	84527.6613	290.7364
55	0.1492	-0.3715	0.2999	138427.7977	93511.0174	305.7957
56	0.1626	-0.3207	0.3029	103444.5761	94930.0972	308.1073
57	0.1755	-0.2452	0.2956	60224.8015	90591.9352	300.9849
58	0.1888	-0.2334	0.2887	53638.3535	86485.9817	294.085
59	0.2023	-0.2188	0.2817	46016.7918	82439.0627	287.122
60	0.2119	-0.1508	0.2698	22076.7012	76951.5753	277.4015
61	0.2229	-0.0776	0.2538	5797.8635	71022.0993	266.4997