Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	50.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	40.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	34.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	36.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	46.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	36.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	23.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	57.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	56.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	57.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	62.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	48.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	51.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	39.64	41.2107	31.9513	50.4701	0.3698	0.0175	0.5962	0.0175
50	33.21	35.0082	25.0645	44.9519	0.3615	0.1806	0.5672	7e-04
51	38.13	37.8962	25.7049	50.0876	0.485	0.7744	0.5662	0.0164
52	43.29	47.2879	34.1235	60.4523	0.2758	0.9136	0.5549	0.2816
53	30.6	37.5738	23.0067	52.1409	0.174	0.2209	0.5532	0.0337
54	21.96	24.8237	9.2655	40.3819	0.3591	0.2334	0.5478	5e-04
55	48.03	58.2581	41.6066	74.9096	0.1143	1	0.5458	0.7979
56	46.15	57.3532	39.7698	74.9367	0.1059	0.8507	0.5428	0.7547
57	50.74	58.6323	40.11	77.1546	0.2018	0.9067	0.541	0.7851
58	48.11	63.2668	43.8824	82.6512	0.0627	0.8974	0.5389	0.8894
59	38.39	49.9001	29.6721	70.1281	0.1324	0.5689	0.5374	0.451
60	44.11	52.1381	31.111	73.1652	0.2271	0.9	0.536	0.536

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1146	-0.0381	0.0032	2.4672	0.2056	0.4534
50	0.1449	-0.0514	0.0043	3.2335	0.2695	0.5191
51	0.1641	0.0062	5e-04	0.0547	0.0046	0.0675
52	0.142	-0.0845	0.007	15.9831	1.3319	1.1541
53	0.1978	-0.1856	0.0155	48.6339	4.0528	2.0132
54	0.3198	-0.1154	0.0096	8.2007	0.6834	0.8267
55	0.1458	-0.1756	0.0146	104.6139	8.7178	2.9526
56	0.1564	-0.1953	0.0163	125.5127	10.4594	3.2341
57	0.1612	-0.1346	0.0112	62.2881	5.1907	2.2783
58	0.1563	-0.2396	0.02	229.728	19.144	4.3754
59	0.2068	-0.2307	0.0192	132.4831	11.0403	3.3227
60	0.2058	-0.154	0.0128	64.4503	5.3709	2.3175