Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[93])
81	132.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	139.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	112.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	121.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	121.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	123.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	131.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	119.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	132.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	98.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	85.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	131.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	129.3	138.7926	109.416	168.1693	0.2633	0.682	0.4732	0.682
95	90.7	127.9926	98.0217	157.9635	0.0074	0.4659	0.4737	0.4042
96	78.6	111.4926	80.939	142.0462	0.0174	0.9089	0.4742	0.0974
97	68.9	120.8926	89.7672	152.018	5e-04	0.9961	0.4747	0.2481
98	79.1	120.6926	89.0058	152.3794	0.005	0.9993	0.4752	0.248
99	83.5	122.0926	89.8541	154.3311	0.0095	0.9955	0.4756	0.2796
100	74.1	130.5926	97.8117	163.3735	4e-04	0.9976	0.476	0.4736
101	59.7	118.2926	84.9781	151.6071	3e-04	0.9953	0.4764	0.2151
102	93.3	131.4926	97.6529	165.3323	0.0135	1	0.4767	0.4952
103	61.3	97.2926	62.9358	131.6494	0.02	0.5901	0.4771	0.0248
104	56.6	84.0926	49.2263	118.9589	0.0611	0.9	0.4774	0.0037
105	98.5	130.6926	95.3242	166.061	0.0372	1	0.4777	0.4777

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
94	0.108	-0.0684	0	90.1097	0	0
95	0.1195	-0.2914	0.1799	1390.7388	740.4243	27.2107
96	0.1398	-0.295	0.2183	1081.9239	854.2575	29.2277
97	0.1314	-0.4301	0.2712	2703.2316	1316.501	36.2836
98	0.1339	-0.3446	0.2859	1729.9453	1399.1899	37.4057
99	0.1347	-0.3161	0.2909	1489.3896	1414.2232	37.6062
100	0.1281	-0.4326	0.3112	3191.4151	1668.1077	40.8425
101	0.1437	-0.4953	0.3342	3433.0941	1888.731	43.4595
102	0.1313	-0.2905	0.3293	1458.6755	1840.9471	42.9063
103	0.1802	-0.3699	0.3334	1295.4681	1786.3992	42.2658
104	0.2115	-0.3269	0.3328	755.8437	1692.7123	41.1426
105	0.1381	-0.2463	0.3256	1036.3642	1638.0166	40.4724