| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.0288 | -0.6397 | 0.2245 | 0.0751 | -0.2925 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.2145 ) | (0.6238 ) | (0.0735 ) | (0.0013 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.0277 | -0.6512 | 0.2298 | 0 | -0.3127 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.194 ) | (NA ) | (0.0442 ) | (0.0141 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.8823 | -0.5694 | 0 | 0 | -0.2826 | -0.9994 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0723 ) | (0.014 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.9106 | -0.5774 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (3e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.35749079520884 |
| 1.06132984455242 |
| 4.83047182090659 |
| 0.45170663096277 |
| -2.12725340552384 |
| 1.99116329486546 |
| -0.508629648999831 |
| 3.32795100978288 |
| -0.00121816477884091 |
| -2.96087917433473 |
| -0.0847974462447133 |
| 2.13619213372883 |
| -2.13970706344917 |
| -3.91728761300883 |
| -5.59414545116521 |
| 1.24473759189043 |
| 1.92594226068633 |
| 5.9310561678077 |
| -5.29344493888291 |
| 0.0965349396933215 |
| 0.0938740541775848 |
| -1.51018455280668 |
| 4.53042821962568 |
| 2.75447595729373 |
| 2.39449053092773 |
| -0.501109482233385 |
| 5.29176577707427 |
| -5.18210454443727 |
| 5.31313592233698 |
| -0.859586803629476 |
| -1.75282041489143 |
| -1.00583855882983 |
| -0.591151945461569 |
| 3.37201630239254 |
| 2.28925691060022 |
| -1.83574590142197 |
| 0.775707708556144 |
| -0.5551340280147 |
| 1.57222505553957 |
| -3.71080533287213 |
| 0.501704971132705 |
| 0.317681165879262 |
| 0.444723447604901 |
| 0.982318618751572 |
| -6.08670458491534 |
| 3.24277975649365 |
| 1.71239517281052 |
| -3.10973370799748 |
| 3.25668214677061 |
| 6.28321232272937 |
| -6.01655450625245 |
| 1.71728208642485 |
| -0.747212131885038 |
| -1.03366811971707 |
| -1.56072343211748 |
| -3.71162139950809 |
| -1.00045977311531 |
| -2.88369898416991 |
| -9.39998118098208 |
| -7.78632823915669 |
| -7.28295035876528 |
| -1.34563372073459 |
| -0.064767561244396 |
| -3.3295710589979 |
| -3.07986507984243 |
| -1.15741321801982 |
| 5.92784607910211 |
| 2.01517351279285 |
| -1.86825723555268 |
