| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.858 | -0.0151 | 0.0951 | -0.8436 | 0.3446 | -0.9117 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.913 ) | (0.3923 ) | (0 ) | (0.0894 ) | (0.024 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.85 | 0 | 0.0879 | -0.8428 | 0.3422 | -1.1054 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.329 ) | (0 ) | (0.0898 ) | (0.015 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.9486 | 0 | 0 | -0.8808 | 0.3612 | -0.9989 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0125 ) | (0.3544 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9387 | 0 | 0 | -0.8651 | -0.2782 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.012 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.356407470092331 |
| 0.835445611894906 |
| 1.12456553235036 |
| -0.113287717339022 |
| 1.24928566477999 |
| -0.495149190194074 |
| 0.561886123089957 |
| -1.30027406000635 |
| 3.84064183089802 |
| 0.771207454085965 |
| -2.10305595578061 |
| 0.565942133209822 |
| -0.458340762764288 |
| 1.20620820881624 |
| 1.43443148258661 |
| -0.979904519735964 |
| 0.43888017240462 |
| 0.75667212828806 |
| 1.43116297150200 |
| -3.87696864919845 |
| 0.399623747484444 |
| 1.36267469908375 |
| 3.18456962920392 |
| 0.477942096498955 |
| -0.0256670557695497 |
| 0.158308881811867 |
| 0.153737289700052 |
| 0.880733558767638 |
| -0.263595969328814 |
| 0.988908291317159 |
| 0.626259648816564 |
| -1.38808875843941 |
| 0.442060741997747 |
| -1.15186722924021 |
| -0.468848347009606 |
| 1.25517559669302 |
| -0.0661888350362847 |
| 0.454242701436977 |
| 0.510208364970746 |
| -1.65217353478056 |
| 0.295513936062805 |
| 0.614532890204526 |
| -1.45172694112036 |
| 0.0414107048954709 |
| 1.28298272313937 |
| 1.81681249801684 |
| 0.261836804133086 |
| -0.735314355838125 |
| -2.09227555947151 |
| 0.273961318748307 |
| 0.685998555346896 |
| -0.593389312289247 |
| 0.422139128367655 |
| -0.189126860346064 |
| -0.220034730634236 |
| -2.04780034842236 |
| 0.401833114512009 |
| -1.66094945023522 |
| 0.540311794444765 |
| 0.394266704472423 |
| -0.777391772320282 |
| 0.307830351153187 |
| -0.262810074898632 |
| 0.641962754558323 |
| 1.3809452345912 |
| -0.222640715861499 |
| -1.14993133029045 |
| -1.43279639081243 |
| -0.306900732847962 |
| -3.40486842785645 |
| -0.232023671899319 |
| -1.55136900571527 |
| 1.24454500184208 |
| -1.15225938733293 |
| -0.904495590648264 |
| 0.57095002893743 |
| -1.48258654977520 |
| -1.86384211266407 |
| 1.63008518529925 |
| -0.00442099601883775 |
| -2.91500588903483 |
| 1.78235003926364 |
| 1.17581679217853 |
| 1.87317946944422 |
| 0.124810704986217 |
| 0.0154419546870501 |
| -0.146012033665942 |
| 0.845100156694567 |
| -1.76845449661072 |
| 3.00070891200707 |
| -0.83956422799482 |
| -1.37126401481751 |
| -0.313895725623826 |
| 0.627980833168996 |
| 2.93514474756649 |
| 2.31011141339983 |
