Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	112.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	113.79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	111.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	107.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	106.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	103.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	101.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	112.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	114.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	109.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	106.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	103.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	104.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	104.87	105.07	101.9549	108.1851	0.4499	0.6948	0	0.6948
98	103.04	102.64	98.2346	107.0454	0.4294	0.1606	1e-04	0.2355
99	100	99.19	93.7945	104.5855	0.3843	0.081	8e-04	0.0328
100	99.39	97.97	91.7398	104.2002	0.3275	0.2615	0.003	0.0239
101	95.13	94.93	87.9644	101.8956	0.4776	0.1047	0.0071	0.0043
102	96.96	92.5	84.8695	100.1305	0.126	0.2497	0.0125	0.0013
103	107.1	103.86	95.6182	112.1018	0.2205	0.9496	0.0191	0.4621
104	108.32	105.88	97.0691	114.6909	0.2936	0.393	0.0262	0.6407
105	105.07	101.22	91.8746	110.5654	0.2097	0.0682	0.0337	0.2619
106	102.64	98.18	88.3291	108.0309	0.1874	0.0852	0.0414	0.1132
107	101.83	94.73	84.3983	105.0617	0.089	0.0667	0.049	0.0353
108	104.67	95.54	84.7489	106.3311	0.0486	0.1266	0.0566	0.0566

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.0151	-0.0019	0	0.04	0	0
98	0.0219	0.0039	0.0029	0.16	0.1	0.3162
99	0.0278	0.0082	0.0047	0.6561	0.2854	0.5342
100	0.0324	0.0145	0.0071	2.0164	0.7181	0.8474
101	0.0374	0.0021	0.0061	0.04	0.5825	0.7632
102	0.0421	0.0482	0.0131	19.8916	3.8007	1.9495
103	0.0405	0.0312	0.0157	10.4976	4.7574	2.1811
104	0.0425	0.023	0.0166	5.9536	4.9069	2.2152
105	0.0471	0.038	0.019	14.8225	6.0086	2.4513
106	0.0512	0.0454	0.0216	19.8916	7.3969	2.7197
107	0.0556	0.0749	0.0265	50.41	11.3072	3.3626
108	0.0576	0.0956	0.0322	83.3569	17.3114	4.1607