Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	68.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	82.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	98.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	71.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	47.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	130.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	125.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	97.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	104.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	91.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	75.11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	89.24	78.0871	66.5959	89.5782	0.0286	0.6942	0.2212	0.6942
46	110.23	94.166	82.2517	106.0804	0.0041	0.7911	0.2425	0.9991
47	78.42	74.6554	61.7002	87.6105	0.2845	0	0.6968	0.4726
48	68.45	46.5415	33.4815	59.6014	5e-04	0	0.4381	0
49	122.81	123.8374	110.8163	136.8584	0.4386	1	0.1463	1
50	129.66	130.2949	116.8975	143.6922	0.463	0.8632	0.9927	1
51	159.06	128.5113	115.1275	141.8952	0	0.4332	0.6603	1
52	139.03	120.3337	106.983	133.6843	0.003	0	0.8386	1
53	102.16	96.1736	82.541	109.8062	0.1947	0	0.4459	0.9988
54	113.59	85.076	71.4316	98.7203	0	0.0071	0.0027	0.9239
55	81.46	76.835	63.202	90.468	0.253	0	0.0155	0.5979
56	77.36	61.465	47.6501	75.28	0.0121	0.0023	0.0264	0.0264
57	87.57	68.5033	53.7663	83.2403	0.0056	0.1194	0.0029	0.1898
58	101.23	85.059	70.0127	100.1053	0.0176	0.3718	5e-04	0.9025
59	87.21	62.6781	46.9936	78.3626	0.0011	0	0.0246	0.0601
60	64.94	32.1065	16.4736	47.7393	0	0	0	0
61	133.12	118.6752	102.9768	134.3735	0.0357	1	0.3028	1
62	117.99	104.4193	88.5224	120.3162	0.0471	2e-04	9e-04	0.9998
63	135.9	109.9794	94.1158	125.8429	7e-04	0.1611	0	1
64	125.67	103.3116	87.3177	119.3055	0.0031	0	0	0.9997
65	108.03	85.8818	69.8246	101.9391	0.0034	0	0.0235	0.9057
66	128.31	88.1412	72.1281	104.1543	0	0.0075	9e-04	0.9446
67	84.74	81.5881	65.3679	97.8082	0.3516	0	0.5062	0.7831
68	86.38	61.9548	45.7426	78.167	0.0016	0.0029	0.0313	0.0559
69	92.24	63.0211	43.511	82.5312	0.0017	0.0095	0.0068	0.1123
70	95.83	84.4959	64.1254	104.8664	0.1377	0.2281	0.0537	0.8168
71	92.33	60.3385	39.3641	81.3128	0.0014	5e-04	0.006	0.0837
72	54.27	32.4389	11.3975	53.4803	0.021	0	0.0012	0

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.0751	0.1428	0	124.3874	0	0
46	0.0646	0.1706	0.1567	258.0507	191.2191	13.8282
47	0.0885	0.0504	0.1213	14.1724	132.2035	11.498
48	0.1432	0.4707	0.2086	479.9829	219.1484	14.8037
49	0.0536	-0.0083	0.1686	1.0555	175.5298	13.2488
50	0.0525	-0.0049	0.1413	0.4031	146.342	12.0972
51	0.0531	0.2377	0.1551	933.222	258.7534	16.0858
52	0.0566	0.1554	0.1551	349.5534	270.1034	16.4348
53	0.0723	0.0622	0.1448	35.8368	244.0738	15.6229
54	0.0818	0.3352	0.1638	813.051	300.9715	17.3485
55	0.0905	0.0602	0.1544	21.3905	275.555	16.5999
56	0.1147	0.2586	0.1631	252.6498	273.6463	16.5423
57	0.1098	0.2783	0.172	363.5393	280.5611	16.75
58	0.0903	0.1901	0.1732	261.5012	279.1997	16.7093
59	0.1277	0.3914	0.1878	601.8157	300.7074	17.3409
60	0.2484	1.0226	0.24	1078.042	349.2908	18.6893
61	0.0675	0.1217	0.233	208.6534	341.0181	18.4667
62	0.0777	0.13	0.2273	184.1641	332.3039	18.2292
63	0.0736	0.2357	0.2277	671.8799	350.1764	18.713
64	0.079	0.2164	0.2272	499.8979	357.6624	18.912
65	0.0954	0.2579	0.2286	490.5412	363.99	19.0785
66	0.0927	0.4557	0.239	1613.5313	420.7873	20.5131
67	0.1014	0.0386	0.2302	9.9347	402.9242	20.073
68	0.1335	0.3942	0.2371	596.5903	410.9936	20.273
69	0.1579	0.4636	0.2461	853.745	428.7036	20.7052
70	0.123	0.1341	0.2418	128.462	417.1559	20.4244
71	0.1774	0.5302	0.2525	1023.4592	439.6116	20.9669
72	0.3309	0.673	0.2675	476.5959	440.9324	20.9984