Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	561	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	549	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	532	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	526	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	511	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	499	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	555	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	565	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	542	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	527	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	510	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	514	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	517	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	508	509.3232	494.5188	524.1276	0.4305	0.1547	0	0.1547
51	493	495.2118	474.7601	515.6634	0.4161	0.1102	2e-04	0.0184
52	490	490.0743	463.703	516.4455	0.4978	0.4139	0.0038	0.0227
53	469	474.9787	442.0559	507.9015	0.3609	0.1856	0.016	0.0062
54	478	462.4242	423.075	501.7734	0.2189	0.3716	0.0342	0.0033
55	528	517.9929	472.7716	563.2141	0.3322	0.9585	0.0544	0.5172
56	534	527.7342	477.3538	578.1147	0.4037	0.4959	0.0736	0.6619
57	518	504.6811	449.7485	559.6137	0.3173	0.1478	0.0915	0.3301
58	506	489.7091	430.6884	548.7299	0.2943	0.1737	0.1078	0.1824
59	502	472.7713	409.9839	535.5587	0.1808	0.1498	0.1226	0.0837
60	516	476.8129	410.4893	543.1364	0.1234	0.2283	0.1359	0.1175
61	528	479.8351	410.1482	549.5221	0.0878	0.1545	0.1479	0.1479

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0148	-0.0026	0	1.7509	0	0
51	0.0211	-0.0045	0.0035	4.8919	3.3214	1.8225
52	0.0275	-2e-04	0.0024	0.0055	2.2161	1.4887
53	0.0354	-0.0126	0.005	35.7446	10.5982	3.2555
54	0.0434	0.0337	0.0107	242.6048	56.9995	7.5498
55	0.0445	0.0193	0.0121	100.1428	64.1901	8.0119
56	0.0487	0.0119	0.0121	39.2598	60.6286	7.7864
57	0.0555	0.0264	0.0139	177.3927	75.2241	8.6732
58	0.0615	0.0333	0.016	265.3924	96.3539	9.816
59	0.0678	0.0618	0.0206	854.316	172.1501	13.1206
60	0.071	0.0822	0.0262	1535.6319	296.103	17.2076
61	0.0741	0.1004	0.0324	2319.8531	464.7489	21.558