Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	8.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	8.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	7.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	6.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	5.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	4.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	4.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	4.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	4.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	4.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	3.2	3.4204	3.0785	3.7623	0.1032	0.324	0	0.324
34	3.2	3.566	2.7612	4.3708	0.1864	0.8136	0	0.5638
35	3.2	4.1325	2.8407	5.4243	0.0785	0.9215	2e-04	0.8314
36	3	4.6727	2.8766	6.4687	0.034	0.946	0.1558	0.8997
37	3	4.9844	2.624	7.3447	0.0497	0.9503	0.6562	0.8911
38	2.4	4.9633	2.0289	7.8977	0.0434	0.9051	0.6949	0.8358
39	2.3	4.6637	1.1395	8.1879	0.0943	0.896	0.623	0.7412
40	1.7	4.1761	0.0259	8.3263	0.1211	0.8122	0.5331	0.6252
41	1.5	3.5437	-1.2409	8.3283	0.2012	0.775	0.4099	0.5071
42	1.1	2.9048	-2.5327	8.3422	0.2577	0.6937	0.3075	0.4151
43	0.8	2.4695	-3.6475	8.5866	0.2963	0.6696	0.3119	0.3706
44	1	2.3813	-4.4256	9.1882	0.3454	0.6756	0.3737	0.3737
45	1.5	1.7929	-5.6948	9.2807	0.4694	0.5822	0.3563	0.3275
46	1.9	0.6533	-7.5093	8.8158	0.3823	0.4194	0.2704	0.2471
47	1.8	-0.6849	-9.5189	8.1491	0.2907	0.2832	0.1944	0.1766
48	1.9	-1.8862	-11.4006	7.6283	0.2177	0.2238	0.1571	0.1336
49	1.7	-3.1917	-13.3921	7.0088	0.1736	0.1639	0.1171	0.0993
50	1.8	-3.8586	-14.7519	7.0348	0.1543	0.1586	0.1301	0.0928
51	1.6	-4.3406	-15.9395	7.2582	0.1577	0.1497	0.1309	0.0926
52	2.2	-4.7895	-17.1025	7.5235	0.1329	0.1546	0.1508	0.0935
53	2.2	-5.0589	-18.0962	7.9785	0.1376	0.1376	0.1621	0.0991
54	2.3	-5.2667	-19.0412	8.5079	0.1408	0.144	0.1825	0.1061
55	2.3	-5.8617	-20.3832	8.6598	0.1353	0.1353	0.1843	0.1032
56	2.2	-6.6571	-21.9367	8.6225	0.1279	0.1253	0.163	0.0963
57	2.5	-7.0692	-23.1986	9.0603	0.1225	0.13	0.1489	0.0995
58	2.1	-7.2132	-24.2882	9.8618	0.1425	0.1324	0.1478	0.1094
59	2.1	-7.0219	-25.1095	11.0656	0.1615	0.1615	0.1695	0.1271
60	2	-6.882	-26.0352	12.2712	0.1817	0.179	0.1844	0.144

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.051	-0.0644	0	0.0486	0	0
34	0.1152	-0.1026	0.0835	0.134	0.0913	0.3021
35	0.1595	-0.2257	0.1309	0.8696	0.3507	0.5922
36	0.1961	-0.358	0.1877	2.7978	0.9625	0.9811
37	0.2416	-0.3981	0.2298	3.9376	1.5575	1.248
38	0.3016	-0.5165	0.2775	6.5705	2.393	1.5469
39	0.3855	-0.5068	0.3103	5.5869	2.8493	1.688
40	0.507	-0.5929	0.3456	6.1309	3.2595	1.8054
41	0.6889	-0.5767	0.3713	4.1767	3.3614	1.8334
42	0.9551	-0.6213	0.3963	3.2571	3.351	1.8306
43	1.2638	-0.6761	0.4217	2.7874	3.2997	1.8165
44	1.4584	-0.5801	0.4349	1.908	3.1838	1.7843
45	2.1307	-0.1634	0.414	0.0858	2.9455	1.7162
46	6.3751	1.9085	0.5208	1.5544	2.8461	1.687
47	-6.581	-3.6282	0.728	6.1746	3.068	1.7516
48	-2.5737	-2.0073	0.8079	14.335	3.7722	1.9422
49	-1.6306	-1.5326	0.8505	23.9284	4.9578	2.2266
50	-1.4404	-1.4665	0.8848	32.0192	6.4613	2.5419
51	-1.3633	-1.3686	0.9102	35.2913	7.9786	2.8246
52	-1.3117	-1.4593	0.9377	48.853	10.0223	3.1658
53	-1.3149	-1.4349	0.9614	52.6911	12.0542	3.4719
54	-1.3344	-1.4367	0.983	57.2543	14.1087	3.7562
55	-1.264	-1.3924	1.0008	66.6133	16.3915	4.0486
56	-1.171	-1.3305	1.0145	78.4488	18.9773	4.3563
57	-1.1641	-1.3536	1.0281	91.5687	21.8809	4.6777
58	-1.2078	-1.2911	1.0382	86.735	24.3753	4.9371
59	-1.3142	-1.2991	1.0479	83.2098	26.5544	5.1531
60	-1.4199	-1.2906	1.0565	78.8901	28.4235	5.3314