Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[48])
3617.2-------
3718-------
3818.1-------
3918-------
4018.3-------
4118.7-------
4218.6-------
4318.3-------
4417.9-------
4517.4-------
4617.4-------
4720.1-------
4823.2-------
4924.224.366424.06524.66790.1396111
5024.224.787424.174925.39980.03010.969911
5123.924.953724.021125.88640.01340.943410.9999
5223.825.420124.193126.64710.00480.992410.9998
5323.826.021424.519427.52340.00190.998110.9999
5423.326.160124.389327.93098e-040.995510.9995
5522.426.073324.02728.11962e-040.996110.997
5621.525.97923.643628.31431e-040.998710.9902
5720.525.874923.235528.514300.999410.9765
5819.926.239123.281829.196400.999910.978
592229.211425.924432.49840110.9998
6024.932.583428.956336.21050111


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
490.0063-0.006800.027700
500.0126-0.02370.01530.3450.18630.4317
510.0191-0.04220.02431.11030.49430.7031
520.0246-0.06370.03412.62471.02691.0134
530.0294-0.08540.04444.93451.80851.3448
540.0345-0.10930.05528.18012.87041.6942
550.04-0.14090.067413.49324.38792.0947
560.0459-0.17240.080620.06116.34712.5193
570.052-0.20770.094728.88948.85182.9752
580.0575-0.24160.109440.184311.9853.4619
590.0574-0.24690.121952.003815.62313.9526
600.0568-0.23580.131459.034619.24074.3864