Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[155])
143	106.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
144	106.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
145	106.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
146	106.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
147	107.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
148	108.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
149	108.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
150	109.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
151	109.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
152	109.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
153	109.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
154	109.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
155	108.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
156	108.77	109.2002	108.8999	109.5004	0.0025	0.9416	1	0.9416
157	108.11	108.8037	108.3192	109.2882	0.0025	0.5543	1	0.2636
158	108.67	109.1296	108.5003	109.759	0.0762	0.9993	1	0.7013
159	109.05	109.7836	109.0339	110.5333	0.0276	0.9982	1	0.9844
160	109.43	110.3035	109.4495	111.1574	0.0225	0.998	1	0.999
161	109.62	110.7061	109.7591	111.653	0.0123	0.9959	1	0.9998
162	109.85	110.8818	109.8501	111.9135	0.025	0.9917	0.9994	0.9999
163	109.34	110.7602	109.6503	111.8702	0.0061	0.946	0.9985	0.9993
164	109.65	110.8915	109.7085	112.0746	0.0198	0.9949	0.9989	0.9993
165	109.69	111.1374	109.8855	112.3893	0.0117	0.9901	0.9976	0.9997
166	109.91	111.3437	110.0265	112.6609	0.0164	0.9931	0.9983	0.9998
167	110.09	111.2952	109.9159	112.6746	0.0434	0.9755	0.9995	0.9995

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
156	0.0014	-0.0039	0	0.185	0	0
157	0.0023	-0.0064	0.0052	0.4813	0.3331	0.5772
158	0.0029	-0.0042	0.0048	0.2112	0.2925	0.5408
159	0.0035	-0.0067	0.0053	0.5382	0.3539	0.5949
160	0.0039	-0.0079	0.0058	0.7629	0.4357	0.6601
161	0.0044	-0.0098	0.0065	1.1795	0.5597	0.7481
162	0.0047	-0.0093	0.0069	1.0647	0.6318	0.7949
163	0.0051	-0.0128	0.0076	2.0171	0.805	0.8972
164	0.0054	-0.0112	0.008	1.5414	0.8868	0.9417
165	0.0057	-0.013	0.0085	2.095	1.0076	1.0038
166	0.006	-0.0129	0.0089	2.0555	1.1029	1.0502
167	0.0063	-0.0108	0.0091	1.4525	1.132	1.064