Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = -2.83103972160239 -0.00497969791234237X[t] + 0.932713845855733Y1[t] -0.0849261973825332Y2[t] -0.295020473860288Y3[t] + 0.179390247778269Y4[t] + 0.299672934182992`Y5 `[t] + 0.066291966934211M1[t] + 0.070275643501231M2[t] + 0.0678099255876927M3[t] + 0.155510564164373M4[t] + 0.181984794020036M5[t] + 0.128406954400737M6[t] + 0.123356529101140M7[t] + 0.144114792469188M8[t] + 0.102750256297642M9[t] + 0.080114755808093M10[t] + 0.0357874509842374M11[t] -0.000149240410139286t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)-2.831039721602394.34225-0.6520.5185580.259279
X-0.004979697912342370.001643-3.03010.0045060.002253
Y10.9327138458557330.1577455.91281e-060
Y2-0.08492619738253320.224609-0.37810.7075720.353786
Y3-0.2950204738602880.243782-1.21020.2340960.117048
Y40.1793902477782690.2394240.74930.4585690.229285
`Y5 `0.2996729341829920.1858831.61220.1156610.057831
M10.0662919669342110.0497121.33350.1907350.095367
M20.0702756435012310.0512921.37010.1791410.089571
M30.06780992558769270.0502291.350.1854420.092721
M40.1555105641643730.0486293.19790.0028830.001442
M50.1819847940200360.0511743.55620.0010760.000538
M60.1284069544007370.0537282.38990.0222090.011104
M70.1233565291011400.0550832.23950.0313960.015698
M80.1441147924691880.0657722.19110.0349970.017499
M90.1027502562976420.0617911.66290.1050240.052512
M100.0801147558080930.0517511.54810.1303470.065174
M110.03578745098423740.0505540.70790.4835660.241783
t-0.0001492404101392860.003603-0.04140.9671930.483596


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.997724269607044
R-squared0.99545371816291
Adjusted R-squared0.993180577244363
F-TEST (value)437.919932742148
F-TEST (DF numerator)18
F-TEST (DF denominator)36
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.0701871577428226
Sum Squared Residuals0.177344536032571


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1103.91103.8784512381880.0315487618122744
2103.91103.8840209464230.0259790535770017
3103.92103.8890633088940.0309366911055615
4104.05104.0397475771440.0102524228558393
5104.23104.2293035628920.000696437108322132
6104.3104.354399586063-0.0543995860629370
7104.31104.375591629482-0.0655916294822722
8104.31104.382258159374-0.0722581593735686
9104.34104.399454869934-0.0594548699339316
10104.55104.4776612112020.0723387887978133
11104.65104.6442980976350.00570190236534622
12104.73104.6779444045020.0520555954984488
13104.75104.7481613591750.00183864082505709
14104.75104.776534341010-0.0265343410101180
15104.76104.817538286797-0.0575382867965953
16104.94104.953332896976-0.0133328969762984
17105.29105.1737607866010.116239213399018
18105.38105.421292876465-0.0412928764651777
19105.43105.4150197466520.0149802533483907
20105.43105.4156143684710.0143856315290806
21105.42105.457540305292-0.0375403052918494
22105.52105.530214142131-0.0102141421309762
23105.69105.6038470449320.086152955067867
24105.72105.733423090087-0.0134230900865648
25105.74105.762393006709-0.0223930067093367
26105.74105.7306897456310.00931025436913267
27105.74105.772013647190-0.0320136471895232
28105.95105.9164643494090.033535650590646
29106.17106.1427717530150.0272282469853371
30106.34106.2828986460980.0571013539019569
31106.37106.3546263316660.0153736683335060
32106.37106.3565670663170.0134329336831226
33106.36106.3567816772870.00321832271262681
34106.44106.3818674140910.0581325859094093
35106.29106.457730039545-0.167730039544940
36106.23106.273587383882-0.0435873838823813
37106.23106.232766994951-0.00276699495084360
38106.23106.268422316619-0.0384223166185613
39106.23106.269120579096-0.0391205790960142
40106.34106.3104190483020.0295809516981365
41106.44106.443770825346-0.00377082534608349
42106.44106.471483399234-0.0314833992339631
43106.48106.4084078887590.0715921112406273
44106.5106.4555604058390.0444395941613654
45106.57106.4762231474870.0937768525131542
46106.4106.520257232576-0.120257232576246
47106.37106.2941248178880.0758751821117265
48106.25106.2450451215300.00495487847049753
49106.21106.218227400977-0.00822740097715119
50106.21106.1803326503170.0296673496825448
51106.24106.1422641780230.0977358219765712
52106.19106.250036128168-0.0600361281683234
53106.08106.220393072147-0.140393072146593
54106.13106.0599254921400.0700745078601208
55106.09106.126354403440-0.0363544034402519


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
220.1710477959969720.3420955919939430.828952204003028
230.07907249283542660.1581449856708530.920927507164573
240.05536820554723680.1107364110944740.944631794452763
250.09036577681762420.1807315536352480.909634223182376
260.2044626263403260.4089252526806520.795537373659674
270.2337711170107240.4675422340214480.766228882989276
280.1460884718274940.2921769436549880.853911528172506
290.1584351544349800.3168703088699600.84156484556502
300.1593550911751820.3187101823503640.840644908824818
310.088380584429430.176761168858860.91161941557057
320.3063153553091480.6126307106182970.693684644690852
330.3390603983194340.6781207966388690.660939601680566


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level00OK