Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 0.0933902629630105 + 0.0131973758026373X[t] + 1.12898049003522Y1[t] -0.261041337127442Y2[t] + 0.00904104327854089M1[t] -0.0127712637042683M2[t] + 0.0157127599307248M3[t] -0.00646660452244727M4[t] + 0.0238195808627235M5[t] + 0.00955915069397892M6[t] + 0.00539507651379937M7[t] + 0.0051366371530282M8[t] -0.0216543225624553M9[t] + 0.0078438959252224M10[t] -0.0141773306869561M11[t] + 0.000257008712972165t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)0.09339026296301050.0504271.8520.0712380.035619
X0.01319737580263730.0132890.99310.3264990.163249
Y11.128980490035220.1810576.235500
Y2-0.2610413371274420.169251-1.54230.1306760.065338
M10.009041043278540890.0215230.42010.6766380.338319
M2-0.01277126370426830.02203-0.57970.5652720.282636
M30.01571275993072480.0220690.7120.4805160.240258
M4-0.006466604522447270.022106-0.29250.7713590.385679
M50.02381958086272350.021911.08720.2833120.141656
M60.009559150693978920.0222790.42910.6701160.335058
M70.005395076513799370.0223830.2410.8107320.405366
M80.00513663715302820.0222780.23060.8187980.409399
M9-0.02165432256245530.02212-0.9790.3333420.166671
M100.00784389592522240.0240090.32670.745550.372775
M11-0.01417733068695610.022671-0.62540.5351980.267599
t0.0002570087129721650.0002720.94430.3505420.175271


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.938532903991567
R-squared0.880844011874843
Adjusted R-squared0.837250357682712
F-TEST (value)20.2057851813177
F-TEST (DF numerator)15
F-TEST (DF denominator)41
p-value2.75335310107039e-14
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.0317207095155677
Sum Squared Residuals0.041254339899012


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
10.7790.785707704326124-0.00670770432612371
20.77440.7583354423472750.0160645576527254
30.79050.7849361175198750.00556388248012521
40.77190.783064203985963-0.0111642039859629
50.78110.788392398065896-0.00729239806589634
60.75570.782794725323252-0.0270947253232522
70.76370.7505418318987240.0131581681012764
80.75950.773012541048404-0.0135125410484043
90.74710.7409682788709890.00613172112901088
100.76150.76719065843101-0.00569065843101006
110.74870.750060427014922-0.00136042701492153
120.73890.7376537371128390.00124626288716086
130.73370.743874585699766-0.0101745856997665
140.7510.726991206346190.0240087936538091
150.73820.769956341344496-0.0317563413444964
160.71590.730386757779805-0.0144867577798046
170.75420.7430542288061850.0111457711938155
180.76360.776119178190505-0.0125191781905048
190.74330.771506908537384-0.0282069085373837
200.76580.7500530059862550.015746994013745
210.76270.7535339916114860.00916600838851389
220.7480.762869745660852-0.014869745660852
230.76920.7246456765372890.0445543234627115
240.7850.775324425247030.00967557475297011
250.79130.800832715871578-0.00953271587157835
260.7720.777501288897598-0.00550128889759753
270.7880.7861737681936530.00182623180634735
280.8070.7886201461776290.0183798538223709
290.82680.83371864877706-0.00691864877705902
300.82440.838310216816602-0.0139102168166024
310.84870.823832715034450.0248672849655508
320.85720.8517600357455860.0054399642544144
330.82140.827581692861597-0.00618169286159735
340.88270.8190161090408660.0636838909591345
350.92160.8750910167566380.0465089832433617
360.88650.925557249371646-0.0390572493716464
370.88160.8757694282078060.00583057179219378
380.88840.8590192429164050.0293807570835953
390.94660.8942089437460330.0523910562539672
400.9180.939016015103575-0.0210160151035753
410.93370.9190819570586950.0146180429413048
420.95590.9346508403047960.0212491596952039
430.96260.9575024407008280.00509755929917249
440.94340.956670178618916-0.0132701786189158
450.86390.896918372403417-0.0330183724034174
460.79960.842723486867272-0.0431234868672724
470.6680.757702879691152-0.0897028796911517
480.65720.6290645882684850.0281354117315154
490.69280.6722155658947250.0205844341052748
500.64380.707752819492532-0.0639528194925323
510.64540.673424829195943-0.0280248291959435
520.68730.6590128769530280.0282871230469718
530.72650.738052767292165-0.0115527672921649
540.79120.7589250393648450.0322749606351555
550.81140.826316103828616-0.0149161038286159
560.82810.8225042386008390.00559576139916069
570.83930.815397664252510.0239023357474900


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
190.01332541489889050.02665082979778110.98667458510111
200.04405244682200350.0881048936440070.955947553177997
210.03635683630643380.07271367261286760.963643163693566
220.02226192750199890.04452385500399780.977738072498001
230.02286136441388520.04572272882777030.977138635586115
240.00976976458286150.0195395291657230.990230235417139
250.004742554823626910.009485109647253820.995257445176373
260.002788658970528580.005577317941057160.997211341029471
270.001037944819124660.002075889638249320.998962055180875
280.001049837942244180.002099675884488360.998950162057756
290.0003770566072654090.0007541132145308180.999622943392735
300.0002041263348365950.0004082526696731910.999795873665163
310.0001199848789589140.0002399697579178290.999880015121041
325.00010965545076e-050.0001000021931090150.999949998903445
330.0002167392440787870.0004334784881575750.999783260755921
340.0004145669010483880.0008291338020967770.999585433098952
350.004467778098722590.008935556197445180.995532221901277
360.009086636664851460.01817327332970290.990913363335149
370.003904985131296570.007809970262593130.996095014868703
380.01099663117282450.0219932623456490.989003368827176


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level120.6NOK
5% type I error level180.9NOK
10% type I error level201NOK